FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Ross

Laidlaw

GKScotland · Ross County FC

№ 150212Emerging €67k +0.40

Player dossierPremiership

RossLaidlaw

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Ross County FC
League
Premiership
Nationality
Scotland
Age
33
Height
201 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
10 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Laidlaw at €100k. Model A, which never saw Laidlaw during training, estimates €67k: the market value is 49% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.49. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €307k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.40A €67k▼ −1.12B €307k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
19
Minutes
1,665
Started
19/19
Min / app
88
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Laidlaw…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €100kModel A €67k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Ross Laidlaw's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 33rd, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 2nd, European club minutes 32nd33rdMinutes62ndStarts2ndRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jul 2011
Peak
€400k
Jun 2021
Model target
€100k
Dec 2025
Valuations
22
2 club changes
Dec 2025€100kRoss County FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €100k, Ross County FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-07-04€25kRaith Rovers FC
2013-10-08€100kRaith Rovers FC
2014-10-01€175kRaith Rovers FC
2015-11-23€175kRaith Rovers FC
2016-11-16€200kHibernian FC
2018-03-04€225kHibernian FC
2018-08-08€225kHibernian FC
2019-01-03€225kHibernian FC
2019-06-16€150kHibernian FC
2020-02-05€300kRoss County FC
2020-07-21€300kRoss County FC
2021-01-18€350kRoss County FC
2021-06-28€400kRoss County FC
2021-12-31€325kRoss County FC
2022-06-27€400kRoss County FC
2022-12-13€400kRoss County FC
2023-06-26€350kRoss County FC
2023-12-05€375kRoss County FC
2024-05-30€375kRoss County FC
2024-12-03€300kRoss County FC
2025-06-17€200kRoss County FC
2025-12-10€100kRoss County FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.400

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premiership311 players · median €400k

Valued above 7% of the 311 Premiership players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 3% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Laidlaw appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).