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Ertuğrul

Taşkıran

GKTürkiye · Alanyaspor

№ 91945Emerging €187k −0.63

Player dossierSüper Lig

ErtuğrulTaşkıran

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Alanyaspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
36
Height
191 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Taşkıran at €100k. Model A, which never saw Taşkıran during training, estimates €187k: the market value is 47% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.87. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €224k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.63A €187k▼ −0.81B €224k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
54
Minutes
4,860
Started
54/54
Min / app
90
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Taşkıran…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €100kModel A €187k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Ertuğrul Taşkıran's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 76th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 56th, European club minutes 32nd76thMinutes62ndStarts56thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

4,860 this player2,790 goalkeeper median76th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,210

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Nov 2008
Peak
€2.8M
Jan 2014
Model target
€100k
May 2026
Valuations
44
10 club changes
May 2026€100kAlanyasporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €100k, Alanyaspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2008-11-04€50kFenerbahce U21
2010-01-11€50kFenerbahce U21
2010-06-22€50kFenerbahce U21
2011-01-21€50kFenerbahce
2011-07-01€50kFenerbahce
2012-01-09€600kSamsunspor
2012-06-07€1MSamsunspor
2013-01-06€1.5MKayserispor
2013-06-14€2.5MKayserispor
2014-01-27€2.8MKayserispor
2014-08-11€2MFenerbahce
2015-01-26€2.5MSivasspor
2015-06-25€2.5MSivasspor
2016-01-18€1.5MFenerbahce
2016-07-15€1MFenerbahce
2017-01-10€700kFenerbahce
2017-06-09€400kFenerbahce
2018-02-05€200kBoluspor
2018-05-30€50kBoluspor
2019-01-04€50kKonyaspor
2019-06-04€50kKonyaspor
2020-01-03€50kKonyaspor
2020-08-04€150kKonyaspor
2020-12-23€150kKasimpasa
2021-03-16€225kKasimpasa
2021-05-21€250kKasimpasa
2021-10-12€300kKasimpasa
2022-01-04€200kKasimpasa
2022-03-31€350kKasimpasa
2022-06-01€400kKasimpasa
2022-10-27€400kKasimpasa
2023-03-14€200kKasimpasa
2023-06-08€100kKasimpasa
2023-09-27€75kAlanyaspor
2023-12-21€75kAlanyaspor
2024-03-15€75kAlanyaspor
2024-05-31€75kAlanyaspor
2024-10-04€75kAlanyaspor
2024-12-23€75kAlanyaspor
2025-03-20€75kAlanyaspor
2025-06-18€75kAlanyaspor
2025-10-01€100kAlanyaspor
2025-12-17€100kAlanyaspor
2026-05-21€100kAlanyaspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.626

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 1% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 3% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Taşkıran appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).