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Maxime

Dupé

GKFrance · OGC Nice

№ 127188Emerging €611k +0.14

Player dossierLigue 1

MaximeDupé

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
OGC Nice
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
France
Age
33
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Dupé at €700k. Model A, which never saw Dupé during training, estimates €611k: the market value is 15% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €623k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.14A €611k▲ +0.12B €623k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
12
Minutes
1,080
Started
12/12
Min / app
90
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dupé…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €611k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Maxime Dupé's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 20th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 35th, European club minutes 96th20thMinutes62ndStarts35thRecent96thEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

33% this player0% goalkeeper median96th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jul 2011
Peak
€2.5M
Jun 2023
Model target
€700k
Jun 2026
Valuations
33
4 club changes
Jun 2026€700kOGC NiceValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €700k, OGC Nice. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-07-22€150kFC Nantes
2011-12-25€150kFC Nantes
2012-06-01€150kFC Nantes
2013-01-04€150kFC Nantes
2013-05-29€150kFC Nantes
2014-01-14€150kFC Nantes
2014-08-07€250kFC Nantes
2014-11-20€750kFC Nantes
2015-01-14€600kFC Nantes
2015-06-06€600kFC Nantes
2016-02-04€600kFC Nantes
2016-07-13€600kFC Nantes
2017-01-16€600kFC Nantes
2017-06-01€800kFC Nantes
2018-01-24€800kFC Nantes
2018-06-04€800kFC Nantes
2018-12-17€800kFC Nantes
2019-06-03€1MFC Nantes
2020-01-06€1MClermont Foot 63
2020-04-08€800kClermont Foot 63
2020-11-11€800kFC Toulouse
2021-06-25€1MFC Toulouse
2021-12-27€1MFC Toulouse
2022-06-02€1.2MFC Toulouse
2022-09-19€1.5MFC Toulouse
2022-11-02€2MFC Toulouse
2023-06-27€2.5MFC Toulouse
2023-12-19€2MRSC Anderlecht
2024-06-03€1.5MOGC Nice
2024-12-10€1.2MOGC Nice
2025-06-03€900kOGC Nice
2025-12-15€800kOGC Nice
2026-06-01€700kOGC Nice

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.136

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 5% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 35% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Dupé appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).