Ally
Samatta
CFTanzania · Le Havre AC
Player dossierLigue 1
AllySamatta
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Le Havre AC
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Tanzania
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 183 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Ligue 1Reading the valuation
The market values Samatta at €700k. Model A, which never saw Samatta during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 47% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.88. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 44
- Minutes
- 2,353
- Goals
- 7
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 24/44
- Min / app
- 53
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Samatta…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
7% this player0% attacker median66th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- May 2012
- Peak
- €12M
- Jun 2019
- Model target
- €700k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 31
- 7 club changes
Jun 2026: €700k, Le Havre AC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-05-03 | €200k | TP Mazembe |
| 2012-09-03 | €500k | TP Mazembe |
| 2015-06-23 | €500k | TP Mazembe |
| 2016-02-07 | €800k | KRC Genk |
| 2016-07-15 | €1.5M | KRC Genk |
| 2017-01-21 | €2.2M | KRC Genk |
| 2017-03-30 | €3M | KRC Genk |
| 2017-06-06 | €3M | KRC Genk |
| 2018-01-09 | €3M | KRC Genk |
| 2018-06-03 | €3M | KRC Genk |
| 2018-09-11 | €4M | KRC Genk |
| 2018-12-27 | €6.5M | KRC Genk |
| 2019-03-04 | €9M | KRC Genk |
| 2019-06-10 | €12M | KRC Genk |
| 2019-12-13 | €12M | KRC Genk |
| 2020-04-08 | €9.5M | Aston Villa |
| 2020-12-23 | €8M | Fenerbahce |
| 2021-03-16 | €5.5M | Fenerbahce |
| 2021-05-21 | €4.2M | Fenerbahce |
| 2022-01-06 | €3.5M | Royal Antwerp FC |
| 2022-04-12 | €3M | Royal Antwerp FC |
| 2022-11-04 | €2.5M | KRC Genk |
| 2023-06-09 | €2.5M | KRC Genk |
| 2023-12-20 | €2.5M | PAOK Thessaloniki |
| 2024-03-06 | €2M | PAOK Thessaloniki |
| 2024-05-30 | €1.8M | PAOK Thessaloniki |
| 2024-09-26 | €1.5M | PAOK Thessaloniki |
| 2024-12-18 | €1M | PAOK Thessaloniki |
| 2025-05-23 | €900k | PAOK Thessaloniki |
| 2025-12-15 | €800k | Le Havre AC |
| 2026-06-01 | €700k | Le Havre AC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.629
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 5% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 22% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Samatta appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- CoquelinDMFC Nantes · Ligue 1€700k
- AppiahRBAS Saint-Étienne · Ligue 1€700k
- DupéGKOGC Nice · Ligue 1€700k
- AppiahLBAmiens SC · Ligue 1€700k
- StuaniCFGirona FC · attackers€700k
- GarcíaCFRCD Espanyol Barcelona · attackers€700k
- PaciênciaCFCD Santa Clara · attackers€700k
- HoltmannLWVfL Bochum · attackers€700k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).