FairValue

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Robin

Yalçın

CBTürkiye · Eyüpspor

№ 124422Emerging €880k −0.38

Player dossierSüper Lig

RobinYalçın

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Eyüpspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
31
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
17 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Yalçın at €600k. Model A, which never saw Yalçın during training, estimates €880k: the market value is 32% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.47. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €713k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.38A €880k▼ −0.17B €713k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
47
Minutes
4,087
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
47/47
Min / app
87
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Yalçın…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €880k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Robin Yalçın's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 42nd, Assists per 90 39th, Minutes, two years 71st, Starts 97th, Minutes, last 365 days 83rd, European club minutes 30th42ndGoals39thAssists71stMinutes97thStarts83rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player83% defender median97th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Jul 2012
Peak
€2M
May 2021
Model target
€600k
Dec 2025
Valuations
38
8 club changes
Dec 2025€600kEyüpsporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €600k, Eyüpspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-07-05€200kVfB Stuttgart U19
2013-01-09€300kVfB Stuttgart U19
2013-06-28€300kVfB Stuttgart U19
2014-01-24€400kVfB Stuttgart II
2014-07-10€500kVfB Stuttgart
2014-11-06€400kVfB Stuttgart
2015-02-04€400kVfB Stuttgart
2015-03-07€350kVfB Stuttgart
2015-07-01€300kVfB Stuttgart
2016-01-18€900kCaykur Rizespor
2016-07-15€900kCaykur Rizespor
2017-01-10€1.3MCaykur Rizespor
2017-06-09€1.3MCaykur Rizespor
2018-02-05€650kCaykur Rizespor
2018-05-30€750kCaykur Rizespor
2019-01-04€750kCaykur Rizespor
2019-06-04€650kYeni Malatyaspor
2020-01-03€1.3MYeni Malatyaspor
2020-04-08€1MYeni Malatyaspor
2020-08-04€900kYeni Malatyaspor
2020-12-23€1.1MSivasspor
2021-03-16€1.5MSivasspor
2021-05-21€2MSivasspor
2021-10-13€1.2MSC Paderborn 07
2021-12-15€900kSC Paderborn 07
2022-06-16€800kSC Paderborn 07
2022-10-27€850kSivasspor
2023-03-14€850kSivasspor
2023-06-08€800kSivasspor
2023-10-20€800kEyüpspor
2023-12-29€700kEyüpspor
2024-03-26€650kEyüpspor
2024-06-13€600kEyüpspor
2024-10-04€600kEyüpspor
2024-12-23€600kEyüpspor
2025-03-20€650kEyüpspor
2025-06-18€600kEyüpspor
2025-12-17€600kEyüpspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.383

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 23% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 22% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Yalçın appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).