Onur
Bulut
RBTürkiye · Basaksehir FK
Player dossierSüper Lig
OnurBulut
RBRight-BackDefender
- Club
- Basaksehir FK
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Türkiye
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 179 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Bulut at €600k. Model A, which never saw Bulut during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 45% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.82. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 46
- Minutes
- 2,020
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 18/46
- Min / app
- 44
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bulut…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
28% this player0% defender median93rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Jul 2012
- Peak
- €3.8M
- Sept 2023
- Model target
- €600k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 44
- 7 club changes
May 2026: €600k, Basaksehir FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-07-06 | €100k | VfL Bochum |
| 2013-01-04 | €100k | VfL Bochum |
| 2013-06-29 | €100k | VfL Bochum |
| 2013-10-14 | €250k | VfL Bochum |
| 2014-01-20 | €400k | VfL Bochum |
| 2014-06-30 | €400k | VfL Bochum |
| 2015-01-13 | €400k | VfL Bochum |
| 2015-07-01 | €400k | VfL Bochum |
| 2015-10-22 | €700k | VfL Bochum |
| 2016-02-11 | €700k | VfL Bochum |
| 2016-07-22 | €1.3M | SC Freiburg |
| 2017-02-07 | €1.3M | SC Freiburg |
| 2017-06-19 | €1.5M | SC Freiburg |
| 2017-12-28 | €1M | SC Freiburg |
| 2018-06-19 | €800k | Eintracht Braunschweig |
| 2018-10-13 | €600k | Eintracht Braunschweig |
| 2019-01-15 | €500k | Eintracht Braunschweig |
| 2019-03-15 | €450k | Eintracht Braunschweig |
| 2019-06-14 | €400k | Eintracht Braunschweig |
| 2020-01-03 | €500k | Alanyaspor |
| 2020-03-25 | €800k | Alanyaspor |
| 2020-04-08 | €650k | Alanyaspor |
| 2020-08-04 | €1.1M | Alanyaspor |
| 2020-12-23 | €1M | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2021-03-16 | €1M | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2021-05-21 | €800k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2021-10-12 | €1M | Kayserispor |
| 2022-01-04 | €1.5M | Kayserispor |
| 2022-03-30 | €2M | Kayserispor |
| 2022-06-01 | €2.8M | Kayserispor |
| 2022-10-27 | €3M | Kayserispor |
| 2023-03-14 | €3.5M | Besiktas JK |
| 2023-06-08 | €3.5M | Besiktas JK |
| 2023-09-27 | €3.8M | Besiktas JK |
| 2023-12-21 | €3.8M | Besiktas JK |
| 2024-03-15 | €3M | Besiktas JK |
| 2024-05-31 | €2M | Besiktas JK |
| 2024-10-04 | €1.7M | Besiktas JK |
| 2024-12-23 | €1.4M | Besiktas JK |
| 2025-03-20 | €1.1M | Besiktas JK |
| 2025-06-18 | €850k | Besiktas JK |
| 2025-10-01 | €800k | Basaksehir FK |
| 2025-12-17 | €700k | Basaksehir FK |
| 2026-05-21 | €600k | Basaksehir FK |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.597
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 23% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 22% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Bulut appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- YalçınCBEyüpspor · Süper Lig€600k
- AjetiCBBodrum FK · Süper Lig€600k
- LarssonAMFatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig€600k
- HaïdaraLBKocaelispor · Süper Lig€600k
- SilvestriRBBologna FC 1909 · defenders€600k
- JungCBSC Freiburg · defenders€600k
- TrimmelRB1.FC Union Berlin · defenders€600k
- BellCB1.FSV Mainz 05 · defenders€600k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).