FairValue

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Massadio

Haïdara

LBMali · Kocaelispor

№ 170929Emerging €541k +0.10

Player dossierSüper Lig

MassadioHaïdara

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Kocaelispor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Mali
Age
33
Height
179 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Haïdara at €600k. Model A, which never saw Haïdara during training, estimates €541k: the market value is 11% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.11. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €915k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.10A €541k▼ −0.42B €915k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
54
Minutes
4,132
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
48/54
Min / app
77
Cards
11Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Haïdara…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €541k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Massadio Haïdara's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 39th, Minutes, two years 71st, Starts 66th, Minutes, last 365 days 55th, European club minutes 78th18thGoals39thAssists71stMinutes66thStarts55thRecent78thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

15% this player0% defender median78th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Jan 2011
Peak
€3M
Jan 2014
Model target
€600k
May 2026
Valuations
37
4 club changes
May 2026€600kKocaelisporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €600k, Kocaelispor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-01-17€250kAS Nancy-Lorraine
2011-05-24€400kAS Nancy-Lorraine
2011-12-24€400kAS Nancy-Lorraine
2012-05-23€1MAS Nancy-Lorraine
2013-01-07€2MAS Nancy-Lorraine
2013-01-28€2.5MNewcastle United
2013-07-02€2.5MNewcastle United
2014-01-15€3MNewcastle United
2014-08-12€2MNewcastle United
2015-02-12€2MNewcastle United
2015-07-01€2MNewcastle United
2016-02-09€1.5MNewcastle United
2016-09-01€1.5MNewcastle United
2017-02-27€1.5MNewcastle United
2017-06-28€1.5MNewcastle United
2018-01-02€1.5MNewcastle United
2018-05-28€1.5MNewcastle United
2019-01-08€1MRC Lens
2019-06-27€1MRC Lens
2020-01-06€1MRC Lens
2020-04-08€800kRC Lens
2020-10-15€800kRC Lens
2021-01-07€1.5MRC Lens
2021-04-09€2MRC Lens
2021-06-04€2.5MRC Lens
2021-12-16€2.5MRC Lens
2022-05-30€2MRC Lens
2022-11-02€3MRC Lens
2023-06-27€3MRC Lens
2023-12-18€2.5MRC Lens
2024-06-03€2MRC Lens
2024-12-10€1.8MStade Brestois 29
2025-06-03€1.5MStade Brestois 29
2025-10-01€1.2MKocaelispor
2025-12-17€900kKocaelispor
2026-03-05€800kKocaelispor
2026-05-21€600kKocaelispor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.103

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 23% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 22% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Haïdara appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).