Arlind
Ajeti
CBAlbania · Bodrum FK
Player dossierSüper Lig
ArlindAjeti
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Bodrum FK
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Albania
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 184 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Süper LigReading the valuation
The market values Ajeti at €600k. Model A, which never saw Ajeti during training, estimates €308k: the market value is 95% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.95. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €384k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 29
- Minutes
- 2,529
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 28/29
- Min / app
- 87
- Cards
- 6Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ajeti…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
97% this player83% defender median88th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jun 2011
- Peak
- €2M
- Jul 2016
- Model target
- €600k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 39
- 11 club changes
Jun 2026: €600k, Bodrum FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2011-06-15 | €50k | FC Basel 1893 U21 |
| 2012-05-30 | €50k | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2013-06-17 | €100k | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2013-11-26 | €500k | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2014-02-14 | €500k | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2014-09-12 | €500k | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2015-04-14 | €300k | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2015-06-18 | €300k | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2016-01-04 | €300k | Frosinone Calcio |
| 2016-04-01 | €1M | Frosinone Calcio |
| 2016-06-01 | €1.5M | Frosinone Calcio |
| 2016-07-15 | €2M | Torino FC |
| 2017-01-02 | €1.8M | Torino FC |
| 2017-06-08 | €1.5M | Torino FC |
| 2017-12-29 | €1.4M | FC Crotone |
| 2018-06-07 | €1M | FC Crotone |
| 2019-01-21 | €1M | Grasshopper Club Zurich |
| 2019-04-15 | €750k | Grasshopper Club Zurich |
| 2019-06-04 | €500k | Grasshopper Club Zurich |
| 2020-03-09 | €400k | Vejle Boldklub |
| 2020-04-08 | €325k | Vejle Boldklub |
| 2020-07-31 | €300k | Vejle Boldklub |
| 2021-02-22 | €250k | AC Reggiana 1919 |
| 2021-06-24 | €300k | AC Reggiana 1919 |
| 2021-12-20 | €250k | Calcio Padova |
| 2022-06-20 | €300k | Calcio Padova |
| 2022-12-19 | €400k | Pordenone Calcio |
| 2023-06-19 | €400k | Pordenone Calcio |
| 2023-09-28 | €700k | CFR Cluj |
| 2023-12-22 | €1M | CFR Cluj |
| 2024-06-05 | €1M | CFR Cluj |
| 2024-10-04 | €900k | Bodrum FK |
| 2024-12-23 | €850k | Bodrum FK |
| 2025-03-20 | €850k | Bodrum FK |
| 2025-06-18 | €800k | Bodrum FK |
| 2025-10-08 | €700k | Bodrum FK |
| 2025-12-29 | €650k | Bodrum FK |
| 2026-03-12 | €600k | Bodrum FK |
| 2026-06-01 | €600k | Bodrum FK |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.668
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 23% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 22% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ajeti appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- YalçınCBEyüpspor · Süper Lig€600k
- BulutRBBasaksehir FK · Süper Lig€600k
- LarssonAMFatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig€600k
- HaïdaraLBKocaelispor · Süper Lig€600k
- SilvestriRBBologna FC 1909 · defenders€600k
- JungCBSC Freiburg · defenders€600k
- TrimmelRB1.FC Union Berlin · defenders€600k
- BellCB1.FSV Mainz 05 · defenders€600k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).