FairValue

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Moussa

Soumano

CFFrance · NAC Breda

№ 1053240Emerging €836k −0.11

Player dossierEredivisie

MoussaSoumano

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
NAC Breda
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
France
Age
20
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Soumano at €750k. Model A, which never saw Soumano during training, estimates €836k: the market value is 10% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.11. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.11A €836k▼ −0.84B €1.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
16
Minutes
793
Goals
5
Assists
0
Started
9/16
Min / app
50
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Soumano…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €750k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €750kModel A €836k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Moussa Soumano's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 93rd, Assists per 90 6th, Minutes, two years 12th, Starts 46th, Minutes, last 365 days 29th, European club minutes 28th93rdGoals6thAssists12thMinutes46thStarts29thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.57 this player0.26 attacker median93rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€900k
Mar 2023
Peak
€1M
Mar 2025
Model target
€750k
May 2026
Valuations
10
1 club change
May 2026€750kNAC BredaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €750k, NAC Breda. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2023-03-27€900kAC Ajaccio
2023-06-27€900kAC Ajaccio
2023-12-13€600kAC Ajaccio
2024-03-26€500kAC Ajaccio
2024-06-11€400kAC Ajaccio
2024-12-04€600kAC Ajaccio
2025-03-12€1MAC Ajaccio
2025-06-02€1MAC Ajaccio
2025-12-02€800kNAC Breda
2026-05-28€750kNAC Breda

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.108

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 38% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 24% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Soumano appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).