FairValue

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Jay-Roy

Grot

CFSuriname · Odense Boldklub

№ 360517Emerging €1.3M −0.58

Player dossierSuperliga

Jay-RoyGrot

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Odense Boldklub
League
Superliga
Nationality
Suriname
Age
28
Height
193 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Grot at €750k. Model A, which never saw Grot during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 44% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.79. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.58A €1.3M▼ −0.40B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
22
Minutes
1,683
Goals
7
Assists
3
Started
19/22
Min / app
77
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Grot…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €750k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €750kModel A €1.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Jay-Roy Grot's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 72nd, Assists per 90 55th, Minutes, two years 36th, Starts 90th, Minutes, last 365 days 63rd, European club minutes 28th72ndGoals55thAssists36thMinutes90thStarts63rdRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

86% this player59% attacker median90th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Nov 2015
Peak
€1.3M
Sept 2017
Model target
€750k
May 2026
Valuations
27
8 club changes
May 2026€750kOdense BoldklubValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €750k, Odense Boldklub. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-11-10€150kNEC Nijmegen
2016-02-05€150kNEC Nijmegen
2016-07-15€350kNEC Nijmegen
2017-01-18€600kNEC Nijmegen
2017-06-07€750kNEC Nijmegen
2017-09-18€1.3MLeeds United
2018-02-27€1.3MLeeds United
2018-12-28€1.3MVVV-Venlo
2019-03-13€1MVVV-Venlo
2019-06-12€1.3MVVV-Venlo
2019-12-18€900kVitesse Arnhem
2020-04-08€800kVitesse Arnhem
2020-10-13€800kLeeds United
2021-02-08€800kVfL Osnabrück
2021-03-29€600kVfL Osnabrück
2021-06-16€400kVfL Osnabrück
2021-12-28€400kViborg FF
2022-06-20€600kViborg FF
2022-09-13€700kViborg FF
2022-12-22€1MViborg FF
2023-06-28€900kKashiwa Reysol
2024-02-22€700kKashiwa Reysol
2024-06-12€500kKashiwa Reysol
2024-12-10€400kKashiwa Reysol
2025-06-16€450kOdense Boldklub
2025-12-15€800kOdense Boldklub
2026-05-25€750kOdense Boldklub

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.581

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 43% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 24% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Grot appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).