FairValue

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Eli

Dasa

CBIsrael · NEC Nijmegen

№ 163847Emerging €1.1M −0.42

Player dossierEredivisie

EliDasa

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
NEC Nijmegen
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Israel
Age
33
Height
177 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Dasa at €700k. Model A, which never saw Dasa during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 34% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.52. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €655k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.42A €1.1M▲ +0.07B €655k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
52
Minutes
3,898
Goals
3
Assists
1
Started
44/52
Min / app
75
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dasa…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Eli Dasa's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 75th, Assists per 90 40th, Minutes, two years 68th, Starts 54th, Minutes, last 365 days 65th, European club minutes 30th75thGoals40thAssists68thMinutes54thStarts65thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.07 this player0.03 defender median75th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Dec 2010
Peak
€2M
Jun 2022
Model target
€700k
May 2026
Valuations
22
4 club changes
May 2026€700kNEC NijmegenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €700k, NEC Nijmegen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2010-12-28€200kBeitar Jerusalem
2012-02-09€300kBeitar Jerusalem
2015-03-04€500kBeitar Jerusalem
2016-04-04€800kMaccabi Tel Aviv
2017-08-21€1MMaccabi Tel Aviv
2018-11-08€1.3MMaccabi Tel Aviv
2019-06-28€1.5MMaccabi Tel Aviv
2019-12-18€1MVitesse Arnhem
2020-04-08€800kVitesse Arnhem
2020-10-14€800kVitesse Arnhem
2021-01-06€900kVitesse Arnhem
2021-05-19€1MVitesse Arnhem
2022-01-05€1.5MVitesse Arnhem
2022-06-08€2MVitesse Arnhem
2022-11-21€2MDynamo Moscow
2023-06-14€1.8MDynamo Moscow
2023-12-13€1.8MDynamo Moscow
2024-06-04€1.5MDynamo Moscow
2024-12-12€1.2MDynamo Moscow
2025-06-04€1MDynamo Moscow
2025-12-02€800kNEC Nijmegen
2026-05-28€700kNEC Nijmegen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.419

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 34% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 26% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Dasa appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).