FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Andres

Jasson

RWUnited States · Aalborg BK

№ 627208Emerging €566k +0.28

Player dossierSuperliga

AndresJasson

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Aalborg BK
League
Superliga
Nationality
United States
Age
23
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
18 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Jasson at €750k. Model A, which never saw Jasson during training, estimates €566k: the market value is 32% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.32. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €725k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.28A €566k▲ +0.03B €725k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
24
Minutes
1,311
Goals
1
Assists
3
Started
13/24
Min / app
55
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Jasson…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €750k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €750kModel A €566k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Andres Jasson's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 72nd, Minutes, two years 27th, Starts 42nd, Minutes, last 365 days 5th, European club minutes 28th10thGoals72ndAssists27thMinutes42ndStarts5thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.21 this player0.15 attacker median72nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2020
Peak
€1M
Nov 2022
Model target
€750k
Dec 2025
Valuations
11
1 club change
Dec 2025€750kAalborg BKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €750k, Aalborg BK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-12-18€50kNew York City FC
2021-07-09€300kNew York City FC
2021-11-09€300kNew York City FC
2022-08-18€500kNew York City FC
2022-11-08€1MNew York City FC
2023-08-22€1MNew York City FC
2023-12-18€1MNew York City FC
2024-06-13€800kNew York City FC
2024-12-09€900kAalborg BK
2025-06-16€800kAalborg BK
2025-12-18€750kAalborg BK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.281

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 43% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 24% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Jasson appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).