FairValue

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Emil

Hansson

LWSweden · Excelsior Rotterdam

№ 276002Emerging €690k +0.08

Player dossierEredivisie

EmilHansson

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Excelsior Rotterdam
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Sweden
Age
27
Height
172 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Hansson at €750k. Model A, which never saw Hansson during training, estimates €690k: the market value is 9% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.09. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €957k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.08A €690k▼ −0.24B €957k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
15
Minutes
759
Goals
1
Assists
2
Started
11/15
Min / app
51
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Hansson…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €750k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €750kModel A €690k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Emil Hansson's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 17th, Assists per 90 80th, Minutes, two years 11th, Starts 73rd, Minutes, last 365 days 27th, European club minutes 28th17thGoals80thAssists11thMinutes73rdStarts27thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.24 this player0.15 attacker median80th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2014
Peak
€2M
Oct 2023
Model target
€750k
May 2026
Valuations
26
10 club changes
May 2026€750kExcelsior RotterdamValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €750k, Excelsior Rotterdam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-12-07€50kSK Brann
2016-07-15€200kFeyenoord Rotterdam
2017-01-18€250kFeyenoord Rotterdam
2017-06-07€500kFeyenoord Rotterdam
2018-01-17€500kFeyenoord Rotterdam
2018-06-12€500kFeyenoord Rotterdam
2019-01-21€600kRKC Waalwijk
2019-07-03€1.3MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2019-09-25€900kHannover 96
2019-12-13€900kHannover 96
2020-04-08€800kRKC Waalwijk
2020-10-14€800kFortuna Sittard
2021-05-19€850kFortuna Sittard
2022-01-05€700kFortuna Sittard
2022-06-08€600kHeracles Almelo
2022-10-12€700kHeracles Almelo
2023-04-03€1.3MHeracles Almelo
2023-07-04€1.5MHeracles Almelo
2023-10-17€2MHeracles Almelo
2023-12-15€1.8MHeracles Almelo
2024-03-18€1.5MHeracles Almelo
2024-05-31€1.5MHeracles Almelo
2024-12-27€1.5MBirmingham City
2025-06-18€1.2MBirmingham City
2025-11-26€1MBlackpool FC
2026-05-28€750kExcelsior Rotterdam

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.084

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 38% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 24% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Hansson appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).