Nícolas
GKBrazil · Pisa Sporting Club
Player dossierSerie A
Nícolas
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Pisa Sporting Club
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 38
- Height
- 190 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Serie AReading the valuation
The market values Nícolas at €100k. Model A, which never saw Nícolas during training, estimates €192k: the market value is 48% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.92. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €109k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 6
- Minutes
- 540
- Started
- 6/6
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Nícolas…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jan 2009
- Peak
- €900k
- Dec 2017
- Model target
- €100k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 33
- 7 club changes
May 2026: €100k, Pisa Sporting Club. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2009-01-17 | €50k | Clube Atlético Mineiro |
| 2011-09-14 | €50k | Hellas Verona |
| 2012-01-01 | €50k | Hellas Verona |
| 2012-06-14 | €50k | Hellas Verona |
| 2012-12-25 | €75k | Hellas Verona |
| 2013-06-25 | €75k | Hellas Verona |
| 2014-01-07 | €100k | Hellas Verona |
| 2014-07-01 | €100k | Hellas Verona |
| 2015-02-10 | €350k | SS Virtus Lanciano |
| 2015-06-29 | €300k | SS Virtus Lanciano |
| 2015-12-28 | €350k | Trapani Calcio |
| 2016-06-13 | €400k | Trapani Calcio |
| 2016-12-19 | €500k | Hellas Verona |
| 2017-06-09 | €500k | Hellas Verona |
| 2017-12-29 | €900k | Hellas Verona |
| 2018-06-07 | €900k | Hellas Verona |
| 2018-12-20 | €700k | Udinese Calcio |
| 2019-06-06 | €700k | Udinese Calcio |
| 2019-12-12 | €500k | Udinese Calcio |
| 2020-04-08 | €400k | Udinese Calcio |
| 2020-08-25 | €350k | Udinese Calcio |
| 2020-12-29 | €350k | Udinese Calcio |
| 2021-06-24 | €350k | Reggina 1914 |
| 2021-12-29 | €450k | Pisa Sporting Club |
| 2022-06-06 | €450k | Pisa Sporting Club |
| 2022-12-22 | €300k | Pisa Sporting Club |
| 2023-06-12 | €300k | Pisa Sporting Club |
| 2023-12-27 | €300k | Pisa Sporting Club |
| 2024-06-03 | €250k | Pisa Sporting Club |
| 2024-12-23 | €200k | Pisa Sporting Club |
| 2025-06-02 | €100k | Pisa Sporting Club |
| 2025-12-23 | €100k | Pisa Sporting Club |
| 2026-05-29 | €100k | Pisa Sporting Club |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.651
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
The lowest observed value among 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 3% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Nícolas appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GuaitaGKParma Calcio 1913 · Serie A€400k
- SansoneLWUS Lecce · Serie A€400k
- LapadulaCFSpezia Calcio · Serie A€400k
- CeccheriniCBUS Cremonese · Serie A€400k
- PasveerGKHeracles Almelo · goalkeepers€100k
- FernándezGKDeportivo Alavés · goalkeepers€100k
- BainGKFalkirk FC · goalkeepers€100k
- TaşkıranGKAlanyaspor · goalkeepers€100k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).