Munashe
Garananga
CBZimbabwe · Hibernian FC
Player dossierPremiership
MunasheGarananga
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Hibernian FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- Zimbabwe
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 188 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
PremiershipReading the valuation
The market values Garananga at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Garananga during training, estimates €594k: the market value is 152% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.52. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 30
- Minutes
- 1,735
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 18/30
- Min / app
- 58
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Garananga…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
20% this player0% defender median84th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €75k
- Jun 2022
- Peak
- €2.5M
- Dec 2024
- Model target
- €1.5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 9
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €1.5M, Hibernian FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-17 | €75k | Dynamo Brest |
| 2022-11-30 | €150k | Dynamo Brest |
| 2023-06-08 | €400k | FC Sheriff Tiraspol |
| 2023-12-08 | €550k | FC Sheriff Tiraspol |
| 2024-06-04 | €900k | KV Mechelen |
| 2024-12-09 | €2.5M | FC Copenhagen |
| 2025-06-16 | €2.5M | FC Copenhagen |
| 2025-12-15 | €2M | FC Copenhagen |
| 2026-05-20 | €1.5M | Hibernian FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.926
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 78% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 43% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Garananga appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ButlandGKRangers FC · Premiership€1.5M
- RalstonRBCeltic FC · Premiership€1.5M
- BaningimeDMHeart of Midlothian FC · Premiership€1.5M
- McCowanCMCeltic FC · Premiership€1.5M
- TraunerCBFeyenoord Rotterdam · defenders€1.5M
- KüblerRBSC Freiburg · defenders€1.5M
- WalkerRBBurnley FC · defenders€1.5M
- TrippierRBNewcastle United · defenders€1.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).