FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
  • EnvironmentTerminalExplore, compare and track players; market, league and model views.
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  • TerminalMarket LandscapeHow observed value is distributed, and where the model drifts.

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Beni

Baningime

DMDR Congo · Heart of Midlothian FC

№ 399369Emerging €1.3M +0.15

Player dossierPremiership

BeniBaningime

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Heart of Midlothian FC
League
Premiership
Nationality
DR Congo
Age
27
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
20 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Baningime at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Baningime during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 16% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.16. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €899k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.15A €1.3M▲ +0.51B €899k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
49
Minutes
3,621
Goals
0
Assists
4
Started
40/49
Min / app
74
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Baningime…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €1.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Beni Baningime's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 52nd, Minutes, two years 67th, Starts 73rd, Minutes, last 365 days 47th, European club minutes 30th10thGoals52ndAssists67thMinutes73rdStarts47thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

82% this player69% midfielder median73rd percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€1M
Jan 2018
Peak
€3M
May 2018
Model target
€1.5M
May 2026
Valuations
21
3 club changes
May 2026€1.5MHeart of Midlothian FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.5M, Heart of Midlothian FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-01-13€1MEverton FC
2018-05-28€3MEverton FC
2018-12-19€2.5MEverton FC
2019-06-13€2MEverton FC
2019-12-10€1.5MEverton FC
2020-04-08€1.3MEverton FC
2020-10-13€1.3MEverton FC
2021-03-10€1MDerby County
2021-06-08€1MEverton FC
2021-12-31€1MHeart of Midlothian FC
2022-06-27€1MHeart of Midlothian FC
2022-12-13€1MHeart of Midlothian FC
2023-03-22€850kHeart of Midlothian FC
2023-06-26€850kHeart of Midlothian FC
2023-12-05€900kHeart of Midlothian FC
2024-05-30€1.5MHeart of Midlothian FC
2024-10-02€1.2MHeart of Midlothian FC
2024-12-03€1.2MHeart of Midlothian FC
2025-06-17€1.5MHeart of Midlothian FC
2025-12-10€1.5MHeart of Midlothian FC
2026-05-20€1.5MHeart of Midlothian FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.149

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premiership311 players · median €400k

Valued above 78% of the 311 Premiership players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 39% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Baningime appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).