Alexis
Cantero
LBParaguay · FC Orenburg
Player dossierPremier Liga
AlexisCantero
LBLeft-BackDefender
- Club
- FC Orenburg
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Paraguay
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 175 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Premier LigaReading the valuation
The market values Cantero at €900k. Model A, which never saw Cantero during training, estimates €471k: the market value is 91% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.91. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €581k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 8
- Minutes
- 528
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 5/8
- Min / app
- 66
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cantero…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% defender median30th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €125k
- Nov 2022
- Peak
- €1.5M
- May 2025
- Model target
- €900k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 8
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €900k, FC Orenburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-30 | €125k | Club Guaraní |
| 2023-06-30 | €500k | Club Guaraní |
| 2023-12-06 | €500k | Club Guaraní |
| 2024-06-13 | €700k | Club Guaraní |
| 2024-12-23 | €900k | Club Guaraní |
| 2025-05-13 | €1.5M | Club Guaraní |
| 2025-12-02 | €1M | Olimpia Asunción |
| 2026-05-26 | €900k | FC Orenburg |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.647
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 39% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 33% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Cantero appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- MendelDMBaltika Kaliningrad · Premier Liga€900k
- SelikhovGKUral Yekaterinburg · Premier Liga€900k
- MoufiRBFC Orenburg · Premier Liga€900k
- VolkGKDinamo Makhachkala · Premier Liga€900k
- BartraCBReal Betis Balompié · defenders€900k
- CabreraCBRCD Espanyol Barcelona · defenders€900k
- BiraghiLBTorino FC · defenders€900k
- FoulquierRBValencia CF · defenders€900k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).