FairValue

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David

Volk

GKRussia · Dinamo Makhachkala

№ 451244Emerging €1.1M −0.20

Player dossierPremier Liga

DavidVolk

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Dinamo Makhachkala
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
25
Height
192 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Volk at €900k. Model A, which never saw Volk during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 18% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.22. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.20A €1.1M▼ −1.24B €3.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
44
Minutes
3,960
Started
44/44
Min / app
90
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Volk…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €900kModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

David Volk's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 66th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 56th, European club minutes 32nd66thMinutes62ndStarts56thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

3,960 this player2,790 goalkeeper median66th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,210

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Feb 2019
Peak
€1.5M
Dec 2024
Model target
€900k
May 2026
Valuations
18
3 club changes
May 2026€900kDinamo MakhachkalaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €900k, Dinamo Makhachkala. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-02-23€100kRubin Kazan II
2019-06-14€50kRubin Kazan II
2019-12-23€75kRubin Kazan II
2020-06-29€75kRubin Kazan II
2020-12-29€100kBaltika 2 Kaliningrad
2021-05-24€100kBaltika 2 Kaliningrad
2021-12-03€100kBaltika-BFU im.I.Kanta
2022-06-13€100kBaltika-BFU im.I.Kanta
2022-12-02€50kBaltika-BFU im.I.Kanta
2023-06-19€25kDinamo Makhachkala
2023-09-20€200kDinamo Makhachkala
2023-11-30€600kDinamo Makhachkala
2024-06-14€550kDinamo Makhachkala
2024-09-18€800kDinamo Makhachkala
2024-12-12€1.5MDinamo Makhachkala
2025-06-04€1.2MDinamo Makhachkala
2025-12-16€900kDinamo Makhachkala
2026-05-26€900kDinamo Makhachkala

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.198

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 39% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 45% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Volk appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).