FairValue

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Cristiano

Biraghi

LBItaly · Torino FC

№ 124555Emerging €1M −0.15

Player dossierSerie A

CristianoBiraghi

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Torino FC
League
Serie A
Nationality
Italy
Age
33
Height
185 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Biraghi at €900k. Model A, which never saw Biraghi during training, estimates €1M: the market value is 14% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.16. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €763k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.15A €1M▲ +0.17B €763k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
40
Minutes
2,400
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
26/40
Min / app
60
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Biraghi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €900kModel A €1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Cristiano Biraghi's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 54th, Assists per 90 49th, Minutes, two years 41st, Starts 21st, Minutes, last 365 days 15th, European club minutes 66th54thGoals49thAssists41stMinutes21stStarts15thRecent66thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

5% this player0% defender median66th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Oct 2009
Peak
€12M
Dec 2019
Model target
€900k
May 2026
Valuations
35
12 club changes
May 2026€900kTorino FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €900k, Torino FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2009-10-28€50kInter Milan Primavera
2010-11-16€200kInter Milan Primavera
2011-05-30€300kInter Milan Primavera
2012-01-01€300kSS Juve Stabia
2012-05-26€300kSS Juve Stabia
2012-12-23€800kAS Cittadella
2013-07-05€1.2MAS Cittadella
2014-01-07€2MCalcio Catania
2014-07-01€2.5MInter Milan
2015-01-07€2.2MChievo Verona
2015-07-01€2MInter Milan
2016-02-22€2.5MGranada CF
2016-07-15€2.5MDelfino Pescara 1936
2017-01-02€2.5MDelfino Pescara 1936
2017-06-08€2.5MDelfino Pescara 1936
2017-12-29€3MACF Fiorentina
2018-06-07€5MACF Fiorentina
2018-10-12€7.5MACF Fiorentina
2018-12-20€10MACF Fiorentina
2019-06-06€10MACF Fiorentina
2019-12-12€12MInter Milan
2020-04-08€9.5MInter Milan
2020-08-25€9.5MInter Milan
2020-12-29€9.5MACF Fiorentina
2021-05-25€9MACF Fiorentina
2021-12-28€10MACF Fiorentina
2022-06-07€10MACF Fiorentina
2022-11-11€6.5MACF Fiorentina
2023-06-15€5MACF Fiorentina
2023-12-20€4MACF Fiorentina
2024-06-05€3.5MACF Fiorentina
2024-12-18€2MACF Fiorentina
2025-06-17€1.8MTorino FC
2025-12-23€1.4MTorino FC
2026-05-29€900kTorino FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.146

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 7% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 33% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Biraghi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).