FairValue

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Peter

Ankersen

RBDenmark · FC Nordsjaelland

№ 146889Emerging €138k −0.32

Player dossierSuperliga

PeterAnkersen

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
FC Nordsjaelland
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
35
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ankersen at €100k. Model A, which never saw Ankersen during training, estimates €138k: the market value is 27% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.38. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €141k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.32A €138k▼ −0.34B €141k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
46
Minutes
3,983
Goals
8
Assists
7
Started
45/46
Min / app
87
Cards
11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ankersen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €100kModel A €138k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Peter Ankersen's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 97th, Assists per 90 90th, Minutes, two years 69th, Starts 92nd, Minutes, last 365 days 62nd, European club minutes 30th97thGoals90thAssists69thMinutes92ndStarts62ndRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.18 this player0.03 defender median97th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Apr 2010
Peak
€3M
Jun 2019
Model target
€100k
May 2026
Valuations
36
9 club changes
May 2026€100kFC NordsjaellandValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €100k, FC Nordsjaelland. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2010-04-08€50kEsbjerg fB
2010-05-31€50kEsbjerg fB
2011-01-01€200kVejle Boldklub
2011-06-04€250kVejle Boldklub
2011-12-29€300kVejle Boldklub Kolding (-2013)
2012-07-01€250kRosenborg BK
2013-01-17€400kEsbjerg fB
2013-06-17€650kEsbjerg fB
2013-09-16€1.5MEsbjerg fB
2014-02-10€2MEsbjerg fB
2015-01-11€1.5MRed Bull Salzburg
2015-06-17€1.3MRed Bull Salzburg
2015-09-02€1.3MFC Copenhagen
2016-01-21€1.3MFC Copenhagen
2016-08-12€1.5MFC Copenhagen
2016-12-12€1.5MFC Copenhagen
2017-06-21€1.8MFC Copenhagen
2017-12-18€1.5MFC Copenhagen
2018-06-02€1.5MFC Copenhagen
2018-12-21€2MFC Copenhagen
2019-06-08€3MFC Copenhagen
2019-12-12€2.5MGenoa CFC
2020-04-08€2MGenoa CFC
2020-08-25€1MGenoa CFC
2020-12-23€1MFC Copenhagen
2021-06-04€1.5MFC Copenhagen
2021-12-28€1MFC Copenhagen
2022-06-20€1MFC Copenhagen
2022-12-22€500kFC Copenhagen
2023-06-26€400kFC Copenhagen
2023-12-21€350kFC Copenhagen
2024-06-10€300kFC Copenhagen
2024-12-09€250kFC Nordsjaelland
2025-06-16€200kFC Nordsjaelland
2025-12-15€150kFC Nordsjaelland
2026-05-25€100kFC Nordsjaelland

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.321

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 4% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 1% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ankersen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).