FairValue

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Daniel

Høegh

CBDenmark · Randers FC

№ 99100Emerging €89k +0.12

Player dossierSuperliga

DanielHøegh

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Randers FC
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
35
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Høegh at €100k. Model A, which never saw Høegh during training, estimates €89k: the market value is 12% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.12. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €132k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.12A €89k▼ −0.28B €132k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
44
Minutes
3,928
Goals
4
Assists
2
Started
44/44
Min / app
89
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Høegh…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €100kModel A €89k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Daniel Høegh's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 84th, Assists per 90 54th, Minutes, two years 68th, Starts 97th, Minutes, last 365 days 59th, European club minutes 30th84thGoals54thAssists68thMinutes97thStarts59thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player83% defender median97th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jul 2010
Peak
€1.5M
Sept 2015
Model target
€100k
May 2026
Valuations
35
4 club changes
May 2026€100kRanders FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €100k, Randers FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2010-07-04€100kOdense Boldklub
2010-09-06€150kOdense Boldklub
2011-01-25€250kOdense Boldklub
2011-06-15€350kOdense Boldklub
2012-07-21€500kOdense Boldklub
2013-01-17€700kOdense Boldklub
2013-06-18€750kOdense Boldklub
2013-09-16€600kOdense Boldklub
2014-08-31€700kOdense Boldklub
2015-02-06€500kOdense Boldklub
2015-09-29€1.5MFC Basel 1893
2015-12-18€1.5MFC Basel 1893
2016-04-20€1MFC Basel 1893
2016-07-16€1MFC Basel 1893
2016-12-20€750kFC Basel 1893
2017-10-26€1MSC Heerenveen
2018-01-17€1.5MSC Heerenveen
2018-06-12€1.5MSC Heerenveen
2018-12-28€1.5MSC Heerenveen
2019-06-12€1.5MSC Heerenveen
2019-12-18€1MSC Heerenveen
2020-04-08€800kSC Heerenveen
2020-12-23€700kFC Midtjylland
2021-06-04€700kFC Midtjylland
2021-12-28€600kFC Midtjylland
2022-06-20€600kFC Midtjylland
2022-09-13€400kRanders FC
2022-12-22€400kRanders FC
2023-06-26€400kRanders FC
2023-12-21€350kRanders FC
2024-06-10€300kRanders FC
2024-12-09€250kRanders FC
2025-06-16€200kRanders FC
2025-12-15€150kRanders FC
2026-05-25€100kRanders FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.117

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 4% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 1% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Høegh appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).