FairValue

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Chukwubuikem

Ikwuemesi

CFNigeria · Oud-Heverlee Leuven

№ 929494Emerging €1.6M −0.29

Player dossierPro League

ChukwubuikemIkwuemesi

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
League
Pro League
Nationality
Nigeria
Age
24
Height
195 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ikwuemesi at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Ikwuemesi during training, estimates €1.6M: the market value is 25% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.34. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.29A €1.6M▼ −0.86B €2.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
61
Minutes
3,351
Goals
8
Assists
2
Started
35/61
Min / app
55
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ikwuemesi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €1.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 40th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 72nd, Starts 48th, Minutes, last 365 days 67th, European club minutes 28th40thGoals17thAssists72ndMinutes48thStarts67thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

3,351 this player2,242 attacker median72nd percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2021
Peak
€2M
Jun 2025
Model target
€1.2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
12
3 club changes
Jun 2026€1.2MOud-Heverlee LeuvenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.2M, Oud-Heverlee Leuven. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-09-01€50kSK Vorwärts Steyr
2021-12-01€175kSK Vorwärts Steyr
2022-07-05€125kNK Celje
2022-12-15€400kNK Celje
2023-05-25€500kNK Celje
2023-10-11€1.5MUS Salernitana 1919
2023-12-20€1.8MUS Salernitana 1919
2024-06-05€1.8MUS Salernitana 1919
2024-12-11€1.8MOud-Heverlee Leuven
2025-06-12€2MOud-Heverlee Leuven
2025-12-10€1.5MOud-Heverlee Leuven
2026-06-04€1.2MOud-Heverlee Leuven

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.294

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 34% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ikwuemesi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).