FairValue

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Ivan

Perišić

LWCroatia · PSV Eindhoven

№ 42460Emerging €2.6M −0.77

Player dossierEredivisie

IvanPerišić

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
PSV Eindhoven
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Croatia
Age
37
Height
186 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Perišić at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Perišić during training, estimates €2.6M: the market value is 54% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.77A €2.6M▼ −1.24B €4.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
81
Minutes
5,588
Goals
26
Assists
27
Started
65/81
Min / app
69
Cards
13Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Perišić…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €2.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Ivan Perišić's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 79th, Assists per 90 98th, Minutes, two years 95th, Starts 83rd, Minutes, last 365 days 96th, European club minutes 79th79thGoals98thAssists95thMinutes83rdStarts96thRecent79thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.43 this player0.15 attacker median98th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€350k
Aug 2006
Peak
€45M
Dec 2017
Model target
€1.2M
May 2026
Valuations
52
12 club changes
May 2026€1.2MPSV EindhovenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.2M, PSV Eindhoven. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2006-08-20€350kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard B
2007-02-12€325kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard B
2008-07-05€100kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2009-01-28€350kKSV Roeselare (-2020)
2009-03-26€600kKSV Roeselare (-2020)
2009-07-01€1MFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2009-12-07€2.5MClub Brugge KV
2010-07-28€3.5MClub Brugge KV
2010-12-28€3.5MClub Brugge KV
2011-03-18€4.5MClub Brugge KV
2011-04-14€5MClub Brugge KV
2011-05-24€6MClub Brugge KV
2012-01-23€6MBorussia Dortmund
2012-06-29€7MBorussia Dortmund
2013-01-13€7.5MVfL Wolfsburg
2013-06-30€7MVfL Wolfsburg
2014-03-31€6MVfL Wolfsburg
2014-07-10€8MVfL Wolfsburg
2015-02-04€11MVfL Wolfsburg
2015-07-01€13MVfL Wolfsburg
2015-11-05€16MInter Milan
2016-01-04€16MInter Milan
2016-04-01€19MInter Milan
2016-06-01€21MInter Milan
2016-07-15€25MInter Milan
2017-01-02€25MInter Milan
2017-06-08€30MInter Milan
2017-10-13€35MInter Milan
2017-12-29€45MInter Milan
2018-03-24€40MInter Milan
2018-06-07€40MInter Milan
2018-07-16€45MInter Milan
2018-12-20€40MInter Milan
2019-03-01€35MInter Milan
2019-06-06€30MInter Milan
2019-10-02€24MBayern Munich
2019-12-17€22MBayern Munich
2020-04-08€17.5MBayern Munich
2020-09-16€15MInter Milan
2020-12-29€10MInter Milan
2021-05-28€10MInter Milan
2021-12-28€10MInter Milan
2022-06-07€10MInter Milan
2022-11-03€10MTottenham Hotspur
2023-06-20€7MTottenham Hotspur
2023-10-09€4MTottenham Hotspur
2023-12-19€4MTottenham Hotspur
2024-06-04€2MHNK Hajduk Split
2024-12-17€1.5MPSV Eindhoven
2025-05-28€1.5MPSV Eindhoven
2025-12-02€1.3MPSV Eindhoven
2026-05-28€1.2MPSV Eindhoven

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.766

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 51% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Perišić appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).