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Cédric

Bakambu

CFDR Congo · Real Betis Balompié

№ 127048Emerging €748k +0.47

Player dossierLaLiga

CédricBakambu

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Real Betis Balompié
League
LaLiga
Nationality
DR Congo
Age
35
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bakambu at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Bakambu during training, estimates €748k: the market value is 60% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.60. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €720k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.47A €748k▲ +0.51B €720k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
55
Minutes
2,018
Goals
7
Assists
5
Started
21/55
Min / app
37
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bakambu…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €748k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Cédric Bakambu's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 59th, Assists per 90 77th, Minutes, two years 45th, Starts 19th, Minutes, last 365 days 45th, European club minutes 85th59thGoals77thAssists45thMinutes19thStarts45thRecent85thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

21% this player0% attacker median85th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jul 2010
Peak
€25M
Jan 2018
Model target
€1.2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
39
7 club changes
Jun 2026€1.2MReal Betis BalompiéValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.2M, Real Betis Balompié. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2010-07-16€150kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2010-09-08€500kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2010-12-28€600kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2011-05-24€600kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2011-12-24€1MFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2012-05-23€1MFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2013-01-07€1.5MFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2013-05-30€2.5MFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2014-01-14€2.5MFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2014-02-05€3MFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2015-01-26€5MBursaspor
2015-06-25€5.5MBursaspor
2015-08-25€7.5MVillarreal CF
2016-02-22€10MVillarreal CF
2016-04-07€12MVillarreal CF
2016-07-15€20MVillarreal CF
2017-01-24€16MVillarreal CF
2017-06-05€16MVillarreal CF
2018-01-01€25MVillarreal CF
2018-03-12€20MBeijing Guoan
2018-06-05€22MBeijing Guoan
2018-12-09€22MBeijing Guoan
2019-09-05€15MBeijing Guoan
2019-12-27€15MBeijing Guoan
2020-04-08€12MBeijing Guoan
2020-12-26€15MBeijing Guoan
2021-08-23€12MBeijing Guoan
2022-01-17€11MOlympique Marseille
2022-05-30€8MOlympique Marseille
2022-09-19€5MOlympiacos Piraeus
2022-11-07€5MOlympiacos Piraeus
2023-05-22€5MOlympiacos Piraeus
2023-09-27€3.4MGalatasaray
2023-12-21€2.8MGalatasaray
2024-06-07€2.5MReal Betis Balompié
2024-12-27€1.8MReal Betis Balompié
2025-06-09€1.5MReal Betis Balompié
2025-12-12€1.4MReal Betis Balompié
2026-06-05€1.2MReal Betis Balompié

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.473

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 15% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bakambu appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).