FairValue

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Mats

Rits

DMBelgium · RSC Anderlecht

№ 92164Emerging €1M −0.74

Player dossierPro League

MatsRits

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
RSC Anderlecht
League
Pro League
Nationality
Belgium
Age
32
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Rits at €500k. Model A, which never saw Rits during training, estimates €1M: the market value is 52% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.74A €1M▼ −1.38B €2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
37
Minutes
2,941
Goals
1
Assists
4
Started
33/37
Min / app
79
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rits…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Mats Rits's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 25th, Assists per 90 61st, Minutes, two years 56th, Starts 86th, Minutes, last 365 days 3rd, European club minutes 94th25thGoals61stAssists56thMinutes86thStarts3rdRecent94thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

28% this player0% midfielder median94th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€700k
Dec 2009
Peak
€6M
Apr 2022
Model target
€500k
Jun 2026
Valuations
41
4 club changes
Jun 2026€500kRSC AnderlechtValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €500k, RSC Anderlecht. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2009-12-07€700kGerminal Beerschot Antwerpen
2010-07-28€1MGerminal Beerschot Antwerpen
2011-01-10€1MGerminal Beerschot Antwerpen
2012-07-04€500kAjax Amsterdam U21
2013-06-25€700kKV Mechelen
2014-02-10€700kKV Mechelen
2014-06-28€700kKV Mechelen
2015-01-11€700kKV Mechelen
2015-06-24€500kKV Mechelen
2016-02-07€600kKV Mechelen
2016-04-14€900kKV Mechelen
2016-07-15€900kKV Mechelen
2017-01-21€1.5MKV Mechelen
2017-03-30€2MKV Mechelen
2017-06-06€2.5MKV Mechelen
2018-01-09€2.2MKV Mechelen
2018-06-03€2MKV Mechelen
2018-09-11€2.5MClub Brugge KV
2018-12-27€2.5MClub Brugge KV
2019-03-04€3MClub Brugge KV
2019-06-10€3.5MClub Brugge KV
2019-12-13€4MClub Brugge KV
2020-03-30€5MClub Brugge KV
2020-04-08€4MClub Brugge KV
2020-10-16€4.5MClub Brugge KV
2021-03-17€5.5MClub Brugge KV
2021-06-07€5.5MClub Brugge KV
2022-01-06€5.5MClub Brugge KV
2022-04-12€6MClub Brugge KV
2022-11-04€5MClub Brugge KV
2023-06-09€5MClub Brugge KV
2023-10-23€4MRSC Anderlecht
2023-12-19€4MRSC Anderlecht
2024-06-04€3.5MRSC Anderlecht
2024-12-11€3MRSC Anderlecht
2025-03-26€2.2MRSC Anderlecht
2025-06-12€1.8MRSC Anderlecht
2025-10-01€1MRSC Anderlecht
2025-12-10€750kRSC Anderlecht
2026-03-13€500kRSC Anderlecht
2026-06-04€500kRSC Anderlecht

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.742

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 9% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 16% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Rits appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).