FairValue

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Taras

Stepanenko

DMUkraine · Kolos Kovalivka

№ 59970Emerging €201k +0.91

Player dossierPremier Liha

TarasStepanenko

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Kolos Kovalivka
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
36
Height
181 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Stepanenko at €500k. Model A, which never saw Stepanenko during training, estimates €201k: the market value is 149% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.49. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €347k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.91A €201k▲ +0.37B €347k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
36
Minutes
1,538
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
16/36
Min / app
43
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Stepanenko…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €201k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Taras Stepanenko's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 38th, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 26th, Starts 15th, Minutes, last 365 days 20th, European club minutes 69th38thGoals8thAssists26thMinutes15thStarts20thRecent69thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

8% this player0% midfielder median69th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€800k
Dec 2007
Peak
€10M
Aug 2018
Model target
€500k
Jun 2026
Valuations
39
3 club changes
Jun 2026€500kKolos KovalivkaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €500k, Kolos Kovalivka. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2007-12-11€800kMetalurg Zaporizhya
2008-10-09€1MMetalurg Zaporizhya
2008-12-02€2MMetalurg Zaporizhya
2009-03-18€2MMetalurg Zaporizhya
2009-09-21€2MMetalurg Zaporizhya
2010-02-17€1.6MMetalurg Zaporizhya
2010-08-28€2.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2011-01-02€3.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2012-01-05€3MShakhtar Donetsk
2014-01-02€4.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2014-06-30€4.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2014-12-25€5.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2015-06-07€8MShakhtar Donetsk
2015-12-18€8MShakhtar Donetsk
2016-06-01€8MShakhtar Donetsk
2016-07-21€8MShakhtar Donetsk
2017-01-03€8MShakhtar Donetsk
2017-06-26€8.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2018-01-12€9MShakhtar Donetsk
2018-08-06€10MShakhtar Donetsk
2018-12-10€10MShakhtar Donetsk
2019-06-20€10MShakhtar Donetsk
2020-01-08€10MShakhtar Donetsk
2020-04-08€8MShakhtar Donetsk
2020-09-04€8MShakhtar Donetsk
2021-01-14€8MShakhtar Donetsk
2021-05-27€7.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2021-12-20€6MShakhtar Donetsk
2022-05-18€6MShakhtar Donetsk
2022-12-06€5MShakhtar Donetsk
2023-06-21€4MShakhtar Donetsk
2023-12-11€3MShakhtar Donetsk
2024-06-06€2.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2024-12-17€1.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2025-03-20€1.1MEyüpspor
2025-06-18€850kEyüpspor
2025-10-01€700kEyüpspor
2025-12-17€500kEyüpspor
2026-06-02€500kKolos Kovalivka

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.910

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 52% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 16% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Stepanenko appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).