FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Mory

Konaté

DMGuinea · KV Mechelen

№ 364370Emerging €622k −0.22

Player dossierPro League

MoryKonaté

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
KV Mechelen
League
Pro League
Nationality
Guinea
Age
32
Height
191 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Konaté at €500k. Model A, which never saw Konaté during training, estimates €622k: the market value is 20% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.24. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €466k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.22A €622k▲ +0.07B €466k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
33
Minutes
2,123
Goals
2
Assists
1
Started
24/33
Min / app
64
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Konaté…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €622k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Mory Konaté's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 50th, Assists per 90 25th, Minutes, two years 40th, Starts 57th, Minutes, last 365 days 65th, European club minutes 30th50thGoals25thAssists40thMinutes57thStarts65thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,002 this player1,541 midfielder median65th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2017
Peak
€1M
Nov 2022
Model target
€500k
Jun 2026
Valuations
20
3 club changes
Jun 2026€500kKV MechelenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €500k, KV Mechelen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-07-01€50kTuS Erndtebrück
2018-02-03€75kTuS Erndtebrück
2018-07-15€75kBorussia Dortmund II
2019-02-05€75kBorussia Dortmund II
2019-07-15€100kBorussia Dortmund II
2019-12-13€100kSint-Truidense VV
2020-03-30€200kSint-Truidense VV
2020-10-16€300kSint-Truidense VV
2021-06-07€400kSint-Truidense VV
2021-10-06€600kSint-Truidense VV
2022-01-06€600kSint-Truidense VV
2022-04-12€900kSint-Truidense VV
2022-11-04€1MSint-Truidense VV
2023-06-09€800kSint-Truidense VV
2023-12-19€800kKV Mechelen
2024-06-04€800kKV Mechelen
2024-12-11€600kKV Mechelen
2025-06-12€500kKV Mechelen
2025-12-10€500kKV Mechelen
2026-06-04€500kKV Mechelen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.218

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 9% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 16% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Konaté appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).