FairValue

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Dzhamalutdin

Abdulkadyrov

CBRussia · Akhmat Grozny

№ 917402Emerging €472k +0.65

Player dossierPremier Liga

DzhamalutdinAbdulkadyrov

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Akhmat Grozny
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
21
Height
195 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Abdulkadyrov at €900k. Model A, which never saw Abdulkadyrov during training, estimates €472k: the market value is 91% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.91. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €937k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.65A €472k▼ −0.04B €937k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
20
Minutes
1,008
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
11/20
Min / app
50
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Abdulkadyrov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €900kModel A €472k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 12th, Starts 11th, Minutes, last 365 days 19th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists12thMinutes11thStarts19thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% defender median30th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Mar 2025
Peak
€1M
Sept 2025
Model target
€900k
May 2026
Valuations
5
1 club change
May 2026€900kAkhmat GroznyValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €900k, Akhmat Grozny. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2025-03-19€50kCSKA Moscow
2025-06-04€800kCSKA Moscow
2025-09-18€1MCSKA Moscow
2025-12-16€1MCSKA Moscow
2026-05-26€900kAkhmat Grozny

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.646

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 39% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 33% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Abdulkadyrov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).