Edoardo

Motta

GKItaly · SS Lazio

№ 916430Established €4.2M +0.64

Player dossierSerie A

EdoardoMotta

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club: SS Lazio
League: Serie A
Nationality: Italy
Age: 21
Height: 194 cm
Foot: Right
Valued: 29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Motta at €8M. Model A, which never saw Motta during training, estimates €4.2M: the market value is 90% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.90. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €954k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 11
Minutes: 1,020
Started: 11/11
Min / app: 93
Cards: 1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Motta…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €75k; Sept 2023
Peak: €8M; May 2026
Model target: €8M; May 2026
Valuations: 8; 2 club changes

May 2026€8MSS LazioValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €8M, SS Lazio. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2023-09-03	€75k	Reggiana Primavera
2024-06-20	€100k	Reggiana Primavera
2024-12-23	€100k	AC Reggiana 1919
2025-06-02	€300k	AC Reggiana 1919
2025-10-06	€1.2M	AC Reggiana 1919
2025-12-11	€1.2M	AC Reggiana 1919
2026-03-24	€4M	SS Lazio
2026-05-29	€8M	SS Lazio

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: +0.644

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 60% of the 507 Serie A players.

See them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 85% of the 485 goalkeepers.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Motta appears

TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).