FairValue

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Portrait of Christos Mandas

Christos

Mandas

GKGreece · AFC Bournemouth

№ 481675Established €2M +1.39

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

ChristosMandas

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
AFC Bournemouth
League
Premier League
Nationality
Greece
Age
24
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Mandas at €8M. Model A, which never saw Mandas during training, estimates €2M: the market value is 302% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×4.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +1.39A €2M▲ +1.80B €1.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
21
Minutes
1,920
Started
21/21
Min / app
91
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mandas…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €8MModel A €2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Christos Mandas's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 37th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 6th, European club minutes 99th37thMinutes62ndStarts6thRecent99thEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

44% this player0% goalkeeper median99th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Dec 2017
Peak
€10M
Jun 2025
Model target
€8M
Jun 2026
Valuations
22
3 club changes
Jun 2026€8MAFC BournemouthValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €8M, AFC Bournemouth. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-12-18€75kAtromitos Athens
2018-05-22€150kAtromitos Athens
2018-12-07€150kAtromitos Athens
2019-05-21€150kAtromitos Athens
2019-12-18€350kAtromitos Athens
2020-04-08€325kAtromitos Athens
2020-08-04€350kAtromitos Athens
2021-02-12€500kAtromitos Athens
2021-05-30€800kAtromitos Athens
2021-11-01€800kAtromitos Athens
2022-06-09€500kOFI Crete
2022-11-07€500kOFI Crete
2023-02-27€600kOFI Crete
2023-05-22€1MOFI Crete
2023-12-20€1MSS Lazio
2024-06-05€3MSS Lazio
2024-12-18€5MSS Lazio
2025-06-17€10MSS Lazio
2025-10-07€7MSS Lazio
2025-12-23€5MSS Lazio
2026-03-09€10MAFC Bournemouth
2026-06-03€8MAFC Bournemouth

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+1.392

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 27% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 85% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Mandas appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).