FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Federico

Redondo

DMArgentina · Elche CF

№ 909758Established €2.4M +0.02

Player dossierLaLiga

FedericoRedondo

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Elche CF
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Argentina
Age
23
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Redondo at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Redondo during training, estimates €2.4M: the market value is 2% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.02A €2.4M▲ +0.22B €2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
19
Minutes
777
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
7/19
Min / app
41
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Redondo…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €2.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Federico Redondo's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 61st, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 8th, Starts 9th, Minutes, last 365 days 23rd, European club minutes 98th61stGoals8thAssists8thMinutes9thStarts23rdRecent98thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

36% this player0% midfielder median98th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€225k
Sept 2022
Peak
€9M
Dec 2023
Model target
€2.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
12
2 club changes
Jun 2026€2.5MElche CFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2.5M, Elche CF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-09-06€225kAA Argentinos Juniors
2022-10-26€400kAA Argentinos Juniors
2023-04-05€1MAA Argentinos Juniors
2023-07-04€4MAA Argentinos Juniors
2023-10-04€8MAA Argentinos Juniors
2023-12-19€9MAA Argentinos Juniors
2024-06-13€8MInter Miami CF
2024-12-12€6.5MInter Miami CF
2025-06-05€5MInter Miami CF
2025-12-12€4MElche CF
2026-03-16€3.5MElche CF
2026-06-05€2.5MElche CF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.024

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 34% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Redondo appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).