FairValue

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Gabri

Martínez

LWSpain · SC Braga

№ 906948Established €10.4M −0.39

Player dossierLiga Portugal

GabriMartínez

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
SC Braga
League
Liga Portugal
Nationality
Spain
Age
23
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Martínez at €7M. Model A, which never saw Martínez during training, estimates €10.4M: the market value is 32% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.48. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €22M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.39A €10.4M▼ −1.14B €22M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
87
Minutes
4,429
Goals
10
Assists
11
Started
44/87
Min / app
51
Cards
11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Martínez…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €7M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €7MModel A €10.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Gabri Martínez's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 37th, Assists per 90 77th, Minutes, two years 86th, Starts 36th, Minutes, last 365 days 79th, European club minutes 95th37thGoals77thAssists86thMinutes36thStarts79thRecent95thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

32% this player0% attacker median95th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jun 2022
Peak
€7M
May 2026
Model target
€7M
May 2026
Valuations
13
4 club changes
May 2026€7MSC BragaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €7M, SC Braga. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-06-29€100kGirona FC B
2022-12-29€150kSan Fernando CD (-2025)
2023-03-24€200kSan Fernando CD (-2025)
2023-06-30€300kGirona FC
2023-10-13€600kCD Mirandés
2023-12-20€1.5MCD Mirandés
2024-06-24€1.8MCD Mirandés
2024-10-08€3MSC Braga
2024-12-19€4MSC Braga
2025-05-30€4MSC Braga
2025-12-18€3.5MSC Braga
2026-03-19€5MSC Braga
2026-05-28€7MSC Braga

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.392

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M

Valued above 82% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 70% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Martínez appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).