FairValue

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Portrait of Rui Silva

Rui

Silva

GKPortugal · Sporting CP

№ 234811Established €5.6M +0.23

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLiga Portugal

RuiSilva

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Sporting CP
League
Liga Portugal
Nationality
Portugal
Age
32
Height
191 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Silva at €7M. Model A, which never saw Silva during training, estimates €5.6M: the market value is 25% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.25. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.23A €5.6M▲ +0.63B €3.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
81
Minutes
7,320
Started
81/81
Min / app
90
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Silva…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €7M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €7MModel A €5.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Rui Silva's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 95th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 96th, European club minutes 83rd95thMinutes62ndStarts96thRecent83rdEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

4,080 this player1,560 goalkeeper median96th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,970

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Apr 2013
Peak
€15M
Jun 2022
Model target
€7M
May 2026
Valuations
32
4 club changes
May 2026€7MSporting CPValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €7M, Sporting CP. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-04-03€100kCD Nacional U19
2013-07-02€100kCD Nacional
2014-07-25€300kCD Nacional
2015-02-17€600kCD Nacional
2015-07-01€600kCD Nacional
2016-02-24€900kCD Nacional
2016-07-29€900kCD Nacional
2017-01-24€1MCD Nacional
2017-06-05€1MGranada CF
2018-01-01€800kGranada CF
2018-05-30€500kGranada CF
2018-09-14€700kGranada CF
2019-02-19€1MGranada CF
2019-06-29€2.5MGranada CF
2019-12-20€5MGranada CF
2020-04-08€4MGranada CF
2020-07-23€10MGranada CF
2020-10-08€10MGranada CF
2021-01-05€10MGranada CF
2021-03-19€12MGranada CF
2021-06-01€12MGranada CF
2021-12-30€14MReal Betis Balompié
2022-06-03€15MReal Betis Balompié
2022-11-07€15MReal Betis Balompié
2023-06-13€15MReal Betis Balompié
2023-12-22€15MReal Betis Balompié
2024-06-07€8MReal Betis Balompié
2024-12-27€5MReal Betis Balompié
2025-03-31€6MSporting CP
2025-05-30€7MSporting CP
2025-12-18€7MSporting CP
2026-05-28€7MSporting CP

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.226

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M

Valued above 82% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 84% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Silva appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).