FairValue

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Mykyta

Shevchenko

GKUkraine · FC Oleksandriya

№ 80312Emerging €247k −0.50

Player dossierPremier Liha

MykytaShevchenko

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
FC Oleksandriya
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
32
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
18 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Shevchenko at €150k. Model A, which never saw Shevchenko during training, estimates €247k: the market value is 39% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.65. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €539k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.50A €247k▼ −1.28B €539k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
18
Minutes
1,575
Started
18/18
Min / app
88
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Shevchenko…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €150k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €150kModel A €247k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Mykyta Shevchenko's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 31st, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 19th, European club minutes 75th31stMinutes62ndStarts19thRecent75thEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

11% this player0% goalkeeper median75th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2011
Peak
€2.5M
Jun 2016
Model target
€150k
Dec 2025
Valuations
29
5 club changes
Dec 2025€150kFC OleksandriyaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €150k, FC Oleksandriya. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-07-04€50kIllichivets Mariupol
2012-01-05€100kIllichivets Mariupol
2014-08-31€500kZorya Lugansk
2014-12-25€1MZorya Lugansk
2015-06-07€1.5MZorya Lugansk
2015-12-18€1.8MZorya Lugansk
2016-06-01€2.5MZorya Lugansk
2016-07-21€2.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2017-01-03€2MShakhtar Donetsk
2017-06-26€1.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2018-01-12€1.2MShakhtar Donetsk
2018-08-06€1MShakhtar Donetsk
2018-12-10€1MKarpaty Lviv
2019-06-20€1MZorya Lugansk
2020-01-08€1.5MZorya Lugansk
2020-04-08€1.2MZorya Lugansk
2020-09-04€1.5MZorya Lugansk
2021-01-14€1.5MZorya Lugansk
2021-06-07€1.2MZorya Lugansk
2021-12-20€1MZorya Lugansk
2022-05-18€1MZorya Lugansk
2022-12-06€800kZorya Lugansk
2023-06-21€700kFC Oleksandriya
2023-12-11€500kFC Oleksandriya
2024-06-06€400kFC Oleksandriya
2024-12-17€300kFC Oleksandriya
2025-03-21€200kFC Oleksandriya
2025-06-10€150kFC Oleksandriya
2025-12-18€150kFC Oleksandriya

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.500

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 4% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 6% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Shevchenko appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).