FairValue

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Ivan

Petryak

LWUkraine · Shakhtar Donetsk

№ 203074Emerging €258k −0.54

Player dossierPremier Liha

IvanPetryak

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Shakhtar Donetsk
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
32
Height
171 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Petryak at €150k. Model A, which never saw Petryak during training, estimates €258k: the market value is 42% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.72. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €433k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.54A €258k▼ −1.06B €433k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
10
Minutes
663
Goals
0
Assists
3
Started
10/10
Min / app
66
Cards
2Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Petryak…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €150k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €150kModel A €258k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Ivan Petryak's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 3rd, Assists per 90 97th, Minutes, two years 8th, Starts 100th, Minutes, last 365 days 1st, European club minutes 28th3rdGoals97thAssists8thMinutes100thStarts1stRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player59% attacker median100th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Jan 2014
Peak
€2M
Jan 2017
Model target
€150k
Jun 2026
Valuations
28
8 club changes
Jun 2026€150kShakhtar DonetskValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €150k, Shakhtar Donetsk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-01-02€300kZorya Lugansk
2014-06-30€600kZorya Lugansk
2014-12-25€400kZorya Lugansk
2015-06-07€400kZorya Lugansk
2015-12-18€1MZorya Lugansk
2016-07-21€1.8MZorya Lugansk
2017-01-03€2MZorya Lugansk
2017-06-26€2MZorya Lugansk
2018-01-12€2MShakhtar Donetsk
2019-01-05€2MFerencvárosi TC
2019-08-07€1.6MMOL Vidi FC
2020-04-08€1.3MMOL Vidi FC
2020-07-28€1.6MVideoton FC Fehérvár
2021-01-24€1.8MVideoton FC Fehérvár
2021-06-01€2MVideoton FC Fehérvár
2022-01-07€2MVideoton FC Fehérvár
2022-06-07€1.6MVideoton FC Fehérvár
2022-12-06€1.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2023-06-21€1.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2023-09-14€1MShakhtar Donetsk
2023-12-11€800kShakhtar Donetsk
2024-06-06€600kPolissya Zhytomyr
2024-09-12€500kChornomorets Odesa
2024-12-17€400kChornomorets Odesa
2025-03-21€300kShakhtar Donetsk
2025-06-10€250kShakhtar Donetsk
2025-12-18€200kShakhtar Donetsk
2026-06-02€150kShakhtar Donetsk

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.544

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 4% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 2% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Petryak appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).