FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Bilal

Brahimi

RWFrance · Viborg FF

№ 789094Emerging €714k +0.34

Player dossierSuperliga

BilalBrahimi

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Viborg FF
League
Superliga
Nationality
France
Age
26
Height
175 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Brahimi at €1M. Model A, which never saw Brahimi during training, estimates €714k: the market value is 40% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.40. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €872k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.34A €714k▲ +0.14B €872k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
14
Minutes
755
Goals
4
Assists
2
Started
9/14
Min / app
54
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Brahimi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €714k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Bilal Brahimi's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 85th, Assists per 90 80th, Minutes, two years 11th, Starts 59th, Minutes, last 365 days 27th, European club minutes 28th85thGoals80thAssists11thMinutes59thStarts27thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.48 this player0.26 attacker median85th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Aug 2021
Peak
€1.5M
Dec 2024
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
15
2 club changes
May 2026€1MViborg FFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, Viborg FF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-08-06€150kUSL Dunkerque
2021-10-27€300kUSL Dunkerque
2021-12-27€450kUSL Dunkerque
2022-03-24€800kUSL Dunkerque
2022-06-02€900kUSL Dunkerque
2022-10-28€800kSM Caen
2023-04-06€1MSM Caen
2023-06-16€1.2MSM Caen
2023-12-13€1MSM Caen
2024-06-11€900kSM Caen
2024-10-03€1MSM Caen
2024-12-04€1.5MSM Caen
2025-06-02€1.2MSM Caen
2025-12-15€1.2MViborg FF
2026-05-25€1MViborg FF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.337

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 57% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 29% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Brahimi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).