FairValue

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Viktor

Claesson

CFSweden · FC Copenhagen

№ 116598Emerging €465k +0.76

Player dossierSuperliga

ViktorClaesson

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
FC Copenhagen
League
Superliga
Nationality
Sweden
Age
34
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Claesson at €1M. Model A, which never saw Claesson during training, estimates €465k: the market value is 115% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €613k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.76A €465k▲ +0.49B €613k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
66
Minutes
3,294
Goals
11
Assists
8
Started
32/66
Min / app
50
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Claesson…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €465k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Viktor Claesson's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 57th, Assists per 90 76th, Minutes, two years 71st, Starts 32nd, Minutes, last 365 days 62nd, European club minutes 79th57thGoals76thAssists71stMinutes32ndStarts62ndRecent79thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

17% this player0% attacker median79th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
May 2011
Peak
€18M
Jun 2019
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
31
3 club changes
May 2026€1MFC CopenhagenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, FC Copenhagen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-05-24€200kIFK Värnamo
2012-09-23€1MIF Elfsborg
2013-06-05€1MIF Elfsborg
2014-06-24€900kIF Elfsborg
2015-04-11€900kIF Elfsborg
2015-06-14€1.1MIF Elfsborg
2015-11-29€1.3MIF Elfsborg
2016-06-18€1.3MIF Elfsborg
2016-12-11€1.5MIF Elfsborg
2017-06-01€3MFC Krasnodar
2017-10-02€4MFC Krasnodar
2017-12-23€5MFC Krasnodar
2018-06-06€8MFC Krasnodar
2018-10-15€10MFC Krasnodar
2018-12-20€14MFC Krasnodar
2019-06-14€18MFC Krasnodar
2019-12-23€17MFC Krasnodar
2020-04-08€13.5MFC Krasnodar
2020-07-29€10MFC Krasnodar
2020-12-29€11MFC Krasnodar
2021-05-31€10MFC Krasnodar
2021-12-29€9MFC Krasnodar
2022-06-20€7MFC Copenhagen
2022-12-22€7MFC Copenhagen
2023-06-26€6MFC Copenhagen
2023-12-21€5MFC Copenhagen
2024-06-10€4.5MFC Copenhagen
2024-12-09€4MFC Copenhagen
2025-06-16€3MFC Copenhagen
2025-12-15€2MFC Copenhagen
2026-05-25€1MFC Copenhagen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.765

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 57% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 29% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Claesson appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).