FairValue

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Abdallah

Sima

LWSenegal · RC Lens

№ 776798Established €10.8M −0.77

Player dossierLigue 1

AbdallahSima

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
RC Lens
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Senegal
Age
24
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sima at €5M. Model A, which never saw Sima during training, estimates €10.8M: the market value is 54% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €9.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.77A €10.8M▼ −0.64B €9.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
57
Minutes
2,456
Goals
12
Assists
4
Started
26/57
Min / app
43
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sima…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €5MModel A €10.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Abdallah Sima's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 82nd, Assists per 90 50th, Minutes, two years 55th, Starts 28th, Minutes, last 365 days 25th, European club minutes 85th82ndGoals50thAssists55thMinutes28thStarts25thRecent85thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

21% this player0% attacker median85th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€8M
Dec 2020
Peak
€11M
Apr 2021
Model target
€5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
15
5 club changes
Jun 2026€5MRC LensValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €5M, RC Lens. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-12-27€8MSK Slavia Prague
2021-04-19€11MSK Slavia Prague
2021-06-25€11MSK Slavia Prague
2021-11-24€8MStoke City
2022-05-13€8MStoke City
2022-11-02€7MAngers SCO
2023-06-27€6MAngers SCO
2023-12-05€7MRangers FC
2024-05-30€7.5MRangers FC
2024-10-07€8MStade Brestois 29
2024-12-10€10MStade Brestois 29
2025-06-03€9MStade Brestois 29
2025-10-10€6MRC Lens
2025-12-15€4MRC Lens
2026-06-01€5MRC Lens

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.767

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 45% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 64% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sima appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).