FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Mads

Enggård

CMDenmark · Vejle Boldklub

№ 752778Established €1.1M +0.79

Player dossierSuperliga

MadsEnggård

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Vejle Boldklub
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
22
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Enggård at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Enggård during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 121% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.79A €1.1M▲ +0.18B €2.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
27
Minutes
1,771
Goals
1
Assists
2
Started
19/27
Min / app
66
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Enggård…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Mads Enggård's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 34th, Assists per 90 53rd, Minutes, two years 31st, Starts 52nd, Minutes, last 365 days 43rd, European club minutes 67th34thGoals53rdAssists31stMinutes52ndStarts43rdRecent67thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

6% this player0% midfielder median67th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2020
Peak
€3M
Apr 2025
Model target
€2.5M
May 2026
Valuations
14
2 club changes
May 2026€2.5MVejle BoldklubValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.5M, Vejle Boldklub. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-12-23€50kRanders FC
2021-06-04€50kRanders FC
2021-12-28€100kRanders FC
2022-06-20€200kRanders FC
2022-12-22€200kRanders FC
2023-06-26€400kRanders FC
2023-12-21€700kRanders FC
2024-06-10€1MRanders FC
2024-09-17€2.5MMolde FK
2024-12-12€2.5MMolde FK
2025-04-03€3MMolde FK
2025-06-18€2.8MMolde FK
2025-12-15€2.5MVejle Boldklub
2026-05-25€2.5MVejle Boldklub

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.794

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 77% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Enggård appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).