FairValue

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Filip

Bundgaard

CFDenmark · Bröndby IF

№ 685145Established €4.7M −0.63

Player dossierSuperliga

FilipBundgaard

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Bröndby IF
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
21
Height
176 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bundgaard at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Bundgaard during training, estimates €4.7M: the market value is 47% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.88. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €9.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.63A €4.7M▼ −1.29B €9.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
50
Minutes
2,572
Goals
12
Assists
3
Started
32/50
Min / app
51
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bundgaard…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €4.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Filip Bundgaard's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 79th, Assists per 90 34th, Minutes, two years 58th, Starts 58th, Minutes, last 365 days 61st, European club minutes 88th79thGoals34thAssists58thMinutes58thStarts61stRecent88thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

23% this player0% attacker median88th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2020
Peak
€2.5M
Dec 2025
Model target
€2.5M
May 2026
Valuations
15
2 club changes
May 2026€2.5MBröndby IFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.5M, Bröndby IF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-07-30€50kUnknown
2020-12-23€100kRanders FC
2021-06-04€150kRanders FC
2021-10-06€200kRanders FC
2021-12-28€200kRanders FC
2022-06-20€300kRanders FC
2022-09-13€500kRanders FC
2022-12-22€700kRanders FC
2023-06-26€1MRanders FC
2023-12-21€1.5MRanders FC
2024-06-10€2MBröndby IF
2024-12-09€2MBröndby IF
2025-06-16€2MBröndby IF
2025-12-15€2.5MBröndby IF
2026-05-25€2.5MBröndby IF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.631

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 77% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 48% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bundgaard appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).