Gift
Links
LMSouth Africa · Aarhus GF
Player dossierSuperliga
GiftLinks
LMLeft MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Aarhus GF
- League
- Superliga
- Nationality
- South Africa
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 170 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 25 May 2026
SuperligaReading the valuation
The market values Links at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Links during training, estimates €3.7M: the market value is 33% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.49. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 50
- Minutes
- 3,997
- Goals
- 9
- Assists
- 9
- Started
- 48/50
- Min / app
- 80
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Links…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
96% this player69% midfielder median95th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Jul 2016
- Peak
- €2.5M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €2.5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 22
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €2.5M, Aarhus GF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-07-08 | €25k | Platinum Stars FC |
| 2017-01-15 | €25k | Platinum Stars FC |
| 2017-07-22 | €50k | Platinum Stars FC |
| 2018-01-06 | €50k | Platinum Stars FC |
| 2018-05-23 | €100k | Alassiouty Sport |
| 2019-01-19 | €250k | Cape Town City FC |
| 2019-06-26 | €350k | Cape Town City FC |
| 2019-12-22 | €300k | Aarhus GF |
| 2020-07-31 | €300k | Aarhus GF |
| 2020-12-23 | €450k | Aarhus GF |
| 2021-06-04 | €800k | Aarhus GF |
| 2021-12-28 | €700k | Aarhus GF |
| 2022-06-20 | €600k | Aarhus GF |
| 2022-09-13 | €500k | Aarhus GF |
| 2022-12-22 | €400k | Aarhus GF |
| 2023-06-26 | €400k | Aarhus GF |
| 2023-12-21 | €400k | Aarhus GF |
| 2024-06-10 | €750k | Aarhus GF |
| 2024-12-09 | €900k | Aarhus GF |
| 2025-06-16 | €1M | Aarhus GF |
| 2025-12-15 | €1.5M | Aarhus GF |
| 2026-05-25 | €2.5M | Aarhus GF |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.395
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Superliga256 players · median €800k
Valued above 77% of the 256 Superliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Links appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SilvaCMFC Midtjylland · Superliga€2.5M
- McCowattAMSilkeborg IF · Superliga€2.5M
- MadsenCMFC Copenhagen · Superliga€2.5M
- DyhrLBRanders FC · Superliga€2.5M
- EriksenAMVfL Wolfsburg · midfielders€2.5M
- GroßCMBrighton & Hove Albion · midfielders€2.5M
- BuyalskyiAMDynamo Kyiv · midfielders€2.5M
- TouréDMLe Havre AC · midfielders€2.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).