Obed
Nkambadio
GKFrance · Paris FC
Player dossierLigue 1
ObedNkambadio
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Paris FC
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- France
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 190 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Nkambadio at €5M. Model A, which never saw Nkambadio during training, estimates €3.3M: the market value is 51% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.51. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €714k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 12
- Minutes
- 1,080
- Started
- 12/12
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Nkambadio…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Aug 2020
- Peak
- €7M
- Oct 2025
- Model target
- €5M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 18
- 1 club change
Jun 2026: €5M, Paris FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-08-14 | €150k | Paris FC B |
| 2020-11-11 | €250k | Paris FC B |
| 2021-06-25 | €250k | Paris FC B |
| 2021-12-27 | €200k | Paris FC B |
| 2022-06-02 | €150k | Paris FC B |
| 2022-10-28 | €150k | Paris FC B |
| 2023-06-16 | €100k | Paris FC B |
| 2023-10-27 | €250k | Paris FC |
| 2023-12-13 | €500k | Paris FC |
| 2024-03-26 | €1M | Paris FC |
| 2024-06-11 | €1.5M | Paris FC |
| 2024-10-03 | €2M | Paris FC |
| 2024-12-04 | €3M | Paris FC |
| 2025-03-12 | €4M | Paris FC |
| 2025-06-02 | €5M | Paris FC |
| 2025-10-10 | €7M | Paris FC |
| 2025-12-15 | €6M | Paris FC |
| 2026-06-01 | €5M | Paris FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.414
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 45% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 79% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Nkambadio appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SaïdSSRC Lens · Ligue 1€5M
- ThauvinRWRC Lens · Ligue 1€5M
- NicolaisenCBFC Toulouse · Ligue 1€5M
- LopezDMParis FC · Ligue 1€5M
- PopeGKNewcastle United · goalkeepers€5M
- ArrizabalagaGKArsenal FC · goalkeepers€5M
- WellenreutherGKFeyenoord Rotterdam · goalkeepers€5M
- BayındırGKManchester United · goalkeepers€5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).