Pedrinho

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club: Konyaspor
League: Süper Lig
Nationality: Brazil
Age: 29
Height: 176 cm
Foot: Right
Valued: 5 Mar 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Pedrinho at €700k. Model A, which never saw Pedrinho during training, estimates €967k: the market value is 28% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.38. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €881k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 47
Minutes: 3,164
Goals: 5
Assists: 4
Started: 36/47
Min / app: 67
Cards: 4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pedrinho…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

77% this player59% attacker median78th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €50k; Mar 2023
Peak: €1.3M; Dec 2024
Model target: €700k; Mar 2026
Valuations: 12; 1 club change

Mar 2026€700kKonyasporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Mar 2026: €700k, Konyaspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2023-03-03	€50k	CSKA 1948
2023-06-05	€200k	CSKA 1948
2023-09-15	€300k	CSKA 1948
2023-12-20	€600k	CSKA 1948
2024-06-03	€750k	CSKA 1948
2024-10-04	€1.2M	Konyaspor
2024-12-23	€1.3M	Konyaspor
2025-03-20	€1.3M	Konyaspor
2025-06-18	€1.3M	Konyaspor
2025-10-01	€1M	Konyaspor
2025-12-17	€900k	Konyaspor
2026-03-05	€700k	Konyaspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: −0.323

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 29% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

See them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 22% of the 1,583 attackers.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Pedrinho appears

TerminalSüper Lig in the Player Explorer
TerminalSüper Lig on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).