Marko
Lazetić
CFSerbia · Aberdeen FC
Player dossierPremiership
MarkoLazetić
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Aberdeen FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- Serbia
- Age
- 22
- Height
- 192 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
PremiershipReading the valuation
The market values Lazetić at €1M. Model A, which never saw Lazetić during training, estimates €347k: the market value is 188% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.88. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 30
- Minutes
- 1,126
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 11/30
- Min / app
- 38
- Cards
- 6Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lazetić…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
4% this player0% attacker median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Dec 2020
- Peak
- €3M
- Mar 2022
- Model target
- €1M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 14
- 7 club changes
May 2026: €1M, Aberdeen FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-12-22 | €200k | Red Star Belgrade U19 |
| 2021-06-06 | €200k | Graficar Belgrad |
| 2021-12-25 | €1.5M | Red Star Belgrade |
| 2022-03-15 | €3M | AC Milan |
| 2022-06-07 | €3M | AC Milan |
| 2022-11-11 | €3M | AC Milan |
| 2023-03-20 | €2.5M | SCR Altach |
| 2023-06-12 | €2M | SCR Altach |
| 2023-12-15 | €1.5M | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2024-05-31 | €1.5M | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2024-12-27 | €1M | FK TSC Backa Topola |
| 2025-06-12 | €800k | FK TSC Backa Topola |
| 2025-12-10 | €800k | Aberdeen FC |
| 2026-05-20 | €1M | Aberdeen FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.057
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 72% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 29% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Lazetić appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- Oxlade-ChamberlainCMCeltic FC · Premiership€1M
- GeigerCMAberdeen FC · Premiership€1M
- SinisaloGKCeltic FC · Premiership€1M
- John-JulesCFKilmarnock FC · Premiership€1M
- DzekoCFFC Schalke 04 · attackers€1M
- DzyubaCFAkron Tolyatti · attackers€1M
- PedroRWSS Lazio · attackers€1M
- DjuricCFUS Cremonese · attackers€1M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).