FairValue

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Casper

Terho

RWFinland · Sparta Rotterdam

№ 679597Emerging €721k +0.33

Player dossierEredivisie

CasperTerho

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Sparta Rotterdam
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Finland
Age
22
Height
184 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Terho at €1M. Model A, which never saw Terho during training, estimates €721k: the market value is 39% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.39. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.33A €721k▼ −0.21B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
32
Minutes
1,244
Goals
1
Assists
2
Started
10/32
Min / app
39
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Terho…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €721k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Casper Terho's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 50th, Minutes, two years 26th, Starts 12th, Minutes, last 365 days 28th, European club minutes 59th10thGoals50thAssists26thMinutes12thStarts28thRecent59thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

2% this player0% attacker median59th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Oct 2019
Peak
€2.5M
Mar 2024
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
17
6 club changes
May 2026€1MSparta RotterdamValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, Sparta Rotterdam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-10-06€25kUnknown
2020-09-26€25kHJK Klubi 04 Helsinki
2021-03-04€25kHJK Helsinki
2021-08-02€100kHJK Helsinki
2021-11-02€100kHJK Helsinki
2022-04-15€150kHJK Helsinki
2022-07-25€250kHJK Helsinki
2022-10-27€400kHJK Helsinki
2023-06-09€750kUnion Saint-Gilloise
2023-10-23€1.2MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2023-12-19€1.8MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2024-03-22€2.5MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2024-06-04€2.2MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2024-12-11€1.8MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2025-06-19€1.8MSC Paderborn 07
2025-12-10€1.5MOud-Heverlee Leuven
2026-05-28€1MSparta Rotterdam

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.327

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 46% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 29% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Terho appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).