Mathias
Løvik
Player dossierSüper Lig
MathiasLøvik
LBLeft-BackDefender
- Club
- Trabzonspor
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Norway
- Age
- 22
- Height
- 183 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Løvik at €4M. Model A, which never saw Løvik during training, estimates €7.2M: the market value is 44% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.80. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €8.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 38
- Minutes
- 2,044
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 22/38
- Min / app
- 54
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Løvik…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
28% this player0% defender median93rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Jul 2022
- Peak
- €5M
- Sept 2024
- Model target
- €4M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 11
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €4M, Trabzonspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-01 | €100k | Molde FK |
| 2022-12-09 | €600k | Molde FK |
| 2023-06-29 | €600k | Molde FK |
| 2023-09-07 | €900k | Molde FK |
| 2023-12-15 | €3M | Molde FK |
| 2024-06-12 | €3.2M | Molde FK |
| 2024-09-17 | €5M | Molde FK |
| 2024-12-12 | €5M | Molde FK |
| 2025-06-17 | €5M | Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 2025-12-23 | €4M | Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 2026-05-21 | €4M | Trabzonspor |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.587
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 77% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 65% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Løvik appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- IcardiCFGalatasaray · Süper Lig€4M
- KantéDMFenerbahce · Süper Lig€4M
- ChalovCFKayserispor · Süper Lig€4M
- ÜnderRWBesiktas JK · Süper Lig€4M
- KolasinacCBAtalanta BC · defenders€4M
- TagliaficoLBOlympique Lyon · defenders€4M
- BurnCBNewcastle United · defenders€4M
- SchärCBNewcastle United · defenders€4M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).


