FairValue

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Mathias

Løvik

LBNorway · Trabzonspor

№ 661212Established €7.2M −0.59

Player dossierSüper Lig

MathiasLøvik

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Trabzonspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Norway
Age
22
Height
183 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Løvik at €4M. Model A, which never saw Løvik during training, estimates €7.2M: the market value is 44% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.80. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €8.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.59A €7.2M▼ −0.72B €8.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
38
Minutes
2,044
Goals
0
Assists
4
Started
22/38
Min / app
54
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Løvik…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4MModel A €7.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Mathias Løvik's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 92nd, Minutes, two years 35th, Starts 13th, Minutes, last 365 days 41st, European club minutes 93rd18thGoals92ndAssists35thMinutes13thStarts41stRecent93rdEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

28% this player0% defender median93rd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jul 2022
Peak
€5M
Sept 2024
Model target
€4M
May 2026
Valuations
11
2 club changes
May 2026€4MTrabzonsporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €4M, Trabzonspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-07-01€100kMolde FK
2022-12-09€600kMolde FK
2023-06-29€600kMolde FK
2023-09-07€900kMolde FK
2023-12-15€3MMolde FK
2024-06-12€3.2MMolde FK
2024-09-17€5MMolde FK
2024-12-12€5MMolde FK
2025-06-17€5MParma Calcio 1913
2025-12-23€4MParma Calcio 1913
2026-05-21€4MTrabzonspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.587

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 77% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 65% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Løvik appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).