Fedor
Chalov
CFRussia · Kayserispor
Player dossierSüper Lig
FedorChalov
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Kayserispor
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Russia
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 181 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Süper LigReading the valuation
The market values Chalov at €4M. Model A, which never saw Chalov during training, estimates €3.9M: the market value is 1% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €9.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 75
- Minutes
- 3,300
- Goals
- 10
- Assists
- 7
- Started
- 35/75
- Min / app
- 44
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Chalov…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
30% this player0% attacker median94th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Aug 2015
- Peak
- €16M
- Jun 2019
- Model target
- €4M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 30
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €4M, Kayserispor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-08-25 | €150k | CSKA Moscow II |
| 2016-12-02 | €400k | CSKA Moscow II |
| 2017-06-01 | €1.2M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2017-12-23 | €1M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2018-06-06 | €2M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2018-09-03 | €3M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2018-10-15 | €5M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2018-12-20 | €10M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2019-06-14 | €16M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2019-12-23 | €16M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2020-04-08 | €14.5M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2020-07-29 | €14M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2020-10-19 | €13M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2020-12-29 | €12M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2021-04-13 | €11M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2021-06-02 | €10M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2021-12-29 | €8.5M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2022-06-08 | €6M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2022-09-12 | €7.5M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2022-11-21 | €8.5M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2023-04-13 | €10M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2023-06-14 | €12M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2023-12-13 | €12M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2024-06-04 | €11M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2024-09-26 | €10M | PAOK Thessaloniki |
| 2024-12-18 | €9M | PAOK Thessaloniki |
| 2025-05-23 | €7.5M | PAOK Thessaloniki |
| 2025-12-12 | €5.5M | PAOK Thessaloniki |
| 2026-03-05 | €5M | Kayserispor |
| 2026-05-21 | €4M | Kayserispor |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.015
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 77% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 59% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Chalov appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- IcardiCFGalatasaray · Süper Lig€4M
- KantéDMFenerbahce · Süper Lig€4M
- ÜnderRWBesiktas JK · Süper Lig€4M
- EskihellaçLBTrabzonspor · Süper Lig€4M
- WilsonCFWest Ham United · attackers€4M
- TraoréRWSunderland AFC · attackers€4M
- GrifoLWSC Freiburg · attackers€4M
- ElyounoussiSSFC Copenhagen · attackers€4M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).