FairValue

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Myron van

Brederode

LWNetherlands · KV Mechelen

№ 650712Established €6.7M −0.39

Player dossierPro League

Myron vanBrederode

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
KV Mechelen
League
Pro League
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
22
Height
174 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Brederode at €4.5M. Model A, which never saw Brederode during training, estimates €6.7M: the market value is 32% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.48. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.39A €6.7M▼ −0.01B €4.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
37
Minutes
3,014
Goals
9
Assists
6
Started
34/37
Min / app
81
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Brederode…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4.5MModel A €6.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Myron van Brederode's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 51st, Assists per 90 62nd, Minutes, two years 67th, Starts 96th, Minutes, last 365 days 93rd, European club minutes 28th51stGoals62ndAssists67thMinutes96thStarts93rdRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

92% this player59% attacker median96th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Dec 2020
Peak
€5M
Oct 2023
Model target
€4.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
12
3 club changes
Jun 2026€4.5MKV MechelenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €4.5M, KV Mechelen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-12-31€150kAZ Alkmaar U18
2022-06-23€200kAZ Alkmaar U18
2022-09-14€1MAZ Alkmaar
2022-11-11€2MAZ Alkmaar
2023-06-23€3MAZ Alkmaar
2023-10-17€5MAZ Alkmaar
2023-12-15€5MAZ Alkmaar
2024-05-31€3.5MAZ Alkmaar
2024-12-19€3MFortuna Düsseldorf
2025-06-19€3MFortuna Düsseldorf
2025-12-10€3MKV Mechelen
2026-06-04€4.5MKV Mechelen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.391

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 84% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€4.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 63% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€4.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Brederode appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).