Miguel
Rodríguez
RWSpain · FC Utrecht
Player dossierEredivisie
MiguelRodríguez
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- FC Utrecht
- League
- Eredivisie
- Nationality
- Spain
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 179 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
EredivisieReading the valuation
The market values Rodríguez at €4.5M. Model A, which never saw Rodríguez during training, estimates €8.9M: the market value is 49% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.97. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €11.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 64
- Minutes
- 3,786
- Goals
- 15
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 44/64
- Min / app
- 59
- Cards
- 8Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rodríguez…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €4.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
23% this player0% attacker median87th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €600k
- Dec 2020
- Peak
- €6.5M
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €4.5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 14
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €4.5M, FC Utrecht. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-12-08 | €600k | Celta Vigo B |
| 2021-01-05 | €800k | Celta Vigo B |
| 2021-06-10 | €1M | Celta Vigo B |
| 2021-12-30 | €1M | Celta Vigo B |
| 2022-06-29 | €1M | Celta Vigo B |
| 2022-12-29 | €1M | Celta Vigo B |
| 2023-06-13 | €1M | Celta de Vigo |
| 2023-12-22 | €900k | Celta de Vigo |
| 2024-06-07 | €800k | Celta de Vigo |
| 2024-12-17 | €2M | FC Utrecht |
| 2025-05-28 | €4.5M | FC Utrecht |
| 2025-12-02 | €6.5M | FC Utrecht |
| 2026-03-11 | €4.5M | FC Utrecht |
| 2026-05-28 | €4.5M | FC Utrecht |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.679
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Eredivisie425 players · median €1M
Valued above 79% of the 425 Eredivisie players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 63% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Rodríguez appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BeltDMFC Twente Enschede · Eredivisie€4.5M
- WillemsenCBSC Heerenveen · Eredivisie€4.5M
- PatatiRWAZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie€4.5M
- WellenreutherGKFeyenoord Rotterdam · Eredivisie€5M
- MuriqiCFRCD Mallorca · attackers€4.5M
- ŚwiderskiCFPanathinaikos · attackers€4.5M
- IdahCFSwansea City · attackers€4.5M
- KaabiCFOlympiacos Piraeus · attackers€4.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).