FairValue

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Vedat

Muriqi

CFKosovo · RCD Mallorca

№ 256267Established €5.3M −0.17

Player dossierLaLiga

VedatMuriqi

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
RCD Mallorca
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Kosovo
Age
32
Height
194 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Muriqi at €4.5M. Model A, which never saw Muriqi during training, estimates €5.3M: the market value is 16% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.17A €5.3M▲ +0.02B €4.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
68
Minutes
5,318
Goals
30
Assists
3
Started
61/68
Min / app
78
Cards
5Y 2R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Muriqi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4.5MModel A €5.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Vedat Muriqi's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 89th, Assists per 90 16th, Minutes, two years 93rd, Starts 94th, Minutes, last 365 days 96th, European club minutes 28th89thGoals16thAssists93rdMinutes94thStarts96thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,137 this player1,301 attacker median96th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Nov 2013
Peak
€17M
Oct 2020
Model target
€4.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
36
7 club changes
Jun 2026€4.5MRCD MallorcaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €4.5M, RCD Mallorca. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-11-25€75kKF Teuta
2014-03-28€100kKS Besa
2014-06-29€150kKS Besa
2015-01-05€450kGiresunspor
2015-06-08€600kGiresunspor
2016-01-04€800kGiresunspor
2016-07-15€1MGenclerbirligi Ankara
2017-01-10€1.5MGenclerbirligi Ankara
2017-06-09€900kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2018-02-05€600kCaykur Rizespor
2018-04-09€500kCaykur Rizespor
2018-05-30€500kCaykur Rizespor
2019-01-04€850kCaykur Rizespor
2019-03-27€1.3MCaykur Rizespor
2019-06-04€2.5MCaykur Rizespor
2019-10-04€8MFenerbahce
2020-01-03€12MFenerbahce
2020-04-08€9.5MFenerbahce
2020-08-04€12MFenerbahce
2020-10-29€17MSS Lazio
2020-12-29€17MSS Lazio
2021-03-23€14MSS Lazio
2021-06-03€9MSS Lazio
2021-10-14€8MSS Lazio
2021-12-28€6MSS Lazio
2022-06-03€7MRCD Mallorca
2022-09-23€9MRCD Mallorca
2022-11-07€10MRCD Mallorca
2023-03-23€15MRCD Mallorca
2023-06-13€15MRCD Mallorca
2023-12-22€15MRCD Mallorca
2024-06-07€12MRCD Mallorca
2024-12-27€8MRCD Mallorca
2025-06-09€5MRCD Mallorca
2025-12-12€4.5MRCD Mallorca
2026-06-05€4.5MRCD Mallorca

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.169

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 56% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€4.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 63% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€4.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Muriqi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).